强热带气旋在共形立方大气模式中的模拟及其对水平分辨率的敏感性

IF 6.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Son C. H. Truong, Hamish A. Ramsay, Tony Rafter, Marcus J. Thatcher
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中,我们评估了共形立方大气模式(CCAM)对1985年发生在西南太平洋的强热带气旋(TC) Hina特征的模拟能力。我们使用准均匀网格和变分辨率网格比较了模型的性能,以研究TC中国属性(如轨迹和强度)表示的差异。我们进一步研究了水平分辨率(50公里、25公里和12.5公里)对风结构、地面通量和降水的影响。结果表明,CCAM与IBTrACS和ERA5数据一致,较好地再现了TC中国的路径。在准均匀和可变分辨率配置下,更高的分辨率改善了中国强度的表征,其中12.5公里分辨率表现出最好的性能。两种网格构型的最大风速(Vmax)和最小海平面气压(SLPmin)时间序列相似。该模式能够以较高的分辨率准确地反映热带气旋中心周围的一系列天气气象现象,以及进入热带气旋内核的水汽来源。此外,我们发现,模拟的TC结构,包括一次和二次环流、地表通量和降水,受到水平分辨率的强烈影响。研究结果表明,高分辨率会增加TC中心附近的降水和潜热通量(有利于TC增强)。虽然在整个澳大拉西亚CORDEX区域模拟tc仍然存在挑战,但该研究证明了CCAM能够以高分辨率模拟高强度tc。这些发现为理解CCAM如何有效地用于tc的区域气候预测提供了有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Simulation of an intense tropical cyclone in the conformal cubic atmospheric model and its sensitivity to horizontal resolution
In this study, we evaluated the Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model's (CCAM) ability to simulate the characteristics of severe Tropical Cyclone (TC) Hina, which occurred in the Southwest Pacific in 1985. We compared the model's performance using both a quasi-uniform grid and a variable-resolution grid to investigate differences in the representation of TC Hina's properties, such as tracks and intensity. We further examined the impact of horizontal resolutions (50 km, 25 km, and 12.5 km) on the wind structure, surface fluxes, and precipitation. Our findings indicate that CCAM reasonably reproduces the TC Hina's track, aligning with IBTrACS and ERA5 data. Higher resolutions in both quasi-uniform and variable resolution configurations result in improved representation of Hina's intensity, with the 12.5 km resolution showing the best performance. Both grid configurations show similar time series of maximum wind speed (Vmax) and minimum sea level pressure (SLPmin). The model is able to accurately represent a range of synoptic meteorological phenomena surrounding the TC centre, as well as the moisture sources feeding into the inner-core of the TC at higher resolutions. Furthermore, we find that the simulated structures of the TC, including primary and secondary circulations, surface fluxes, and precipitation are strongly influenced by horizontal resolution. Our findings suggest that higher resolutions promote greater precipitation and larger latent heat fluxes near the TC centre (facilitating TC intensification). While challenges remain in simulating TCs over the entire Australasian CORDEX domain, the study demonstrates CCAM's capability to simulate intense TCs at high resolution. These findings provide valuable insights into the understanding of how CCAM can be effectively utilised for regional climate projections of TCs.
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来源期刊
Weather and Climate Extremes
Weather and Climate Extremes Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
7.50%
发文量
102
审稿时长
33 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather and Climate Extremes Target Audience: Academics Decision makers International development agencies Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) Civil society Focus Areas: Research in weather and climate extremes Monitoring and early warning systems Assessment of vulnerability and impacts Developing and implementing intervention policies Effective risk management and adaptation practices Engagement of local communities in adopting coping strategies Information and communication strategies tailored to local and regional needs and circumstances
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