具有饱和发病率和环境动态的贾第虫病感染最优控制策略的确定性室室模型

Stephen Edward , Nyimvua Shaban
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究开发了一个确定性的室室模型,跟踪贾第虫病的直接和间接传播动力学。该研究首先构建了一个包含四个恒定控制因素的模型:健康教育、筛查、住院和卫生。对模型的分析结果进行了研究和介绍。证明了解的正性和不变量区域的存在性。该模型具有独特的无病平衡和多个地方性平衡。利用新一代矩阵(NGM)方法推导了有效繁殖数,并探讨了其对平衡稳定性的影响。利用Routh-Hurwitz准则证实了无病平衡的局部稳定性,同时也给出了全局稳定性结果。根据有效繁殖数进行敏感性分析,找出影响最大的参数。我们引入一个最优控制问题来抑制贾第虫病的传播。我们严格地建立了最优控制解的存在性,并利用庞特里亚金极大值原理对这些解进行了解析表征。我们通过数值模拟来评估各种控制策略的有效性。结果令人鼓舞,表明同时实施所有四项控制措施,即教育、筛查、治疗和卫生,可导致疾病病例显著减少,从而为贾第虫病的传播提供了一种令人放心的解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deterministic compartmental model for optimal control strategies of Giardiasis infection with saturating incidence and environmental dynamics
This study develops a deterministic compartmental model that tracks Giardiasis’s direct and indirect transmission dynamics. The study begins by constructing a model incorporating four constant controls: health education, screening, hospitalization, and sanitation. The analytical results of the model are investigated and presented. The positivity of the solutions and the existence of invariant regions were established. The model exhibits a unique disease-free equilibrium and multiple endemic equilibria. The effective reproduction number was derived using the Next-Generation Matrix (NGM) approach, and its implications for the stability of the equilibria were explored. Local stability of the disease-free equilibrium was confirmed using the Routh–Hurwitz criteria, while global stability results were also presented. Sensitivity analysis was conducted based on the effective reproduction number, identifying the most influential parameters. We introduce an optimal control problem to curb the spread of Giardiasis. We rigorously establish the existence of optimal control solutions and analytically characterize these solutions using Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle. We conduct numerical simulations to evaluate the effectiveness of various control strategies. The results are promising, showing that the simultaneous implementation of all four control measures, education, screening, treatment, and sanitation, can lead to a significant reduction in disease cases, thereby offering a reassuring solution to the spread of Giardiasis.
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来源期刊
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.) Applied Mathematics, Modelling and Simulation, Nursing and Health Professions (General)
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
79 days
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