海外同胞：现有劳动力如何适应大规模被迫回归的移民冲击

IF 2.8 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

European Economic Review Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104925

Lara Bohnet , Susana Peralta , João Pereira dos Santos

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引用次数: 0

摘要

1975年，非洲葡语国家爆发内战，导致50万旋风人返回葡萄牙。我们使用1960年和1981年的人口普查数据来研究大量工人涌入对现有劳动力的影响。我们观察到当地人劳动力市场结果的性别影响：男性和女性本地人离开依赖就业。我们发现了强有力的证据表明女性趋向于不活动，而暗示性的证据表明男性趋向于自主创业。这种影响是由在葡萄牙出生的回国者推动的。识别策略利用了遣返者的出生城市和依靠酒店容量的大规模安置计划。

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Cousins from overseas: How the existing workforce adapts to a massive forced return migration shock

The 1975 eruption of Civil Wars in Portuguese-speaking Africa sparked the return of half a million retornados to Portugal. We use census data from 1960 and 1981 to study the impacts of this massive influx of workers on the existing workforce. We observe gendered effects in natives’ labour market outcomes: male and female natives leave dependent employment. We find robust evidence of females moving to inactivity, and suggestive evidence that males move into self-employment. The effects are driven by the repatriates who are Portuguese-born. The identification strategy exploits the repatriates’ municipality of birth and a large-scale resettlement program relying on hotel capacity.

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来源期刊

European Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

4.70

自引率

3.60%

发文量

170

期刊介绍： The European Economic Review (EER) started publishing in 1969 as the first research journal specifically aiming to contribute to the development and application of economics as a science in Europe. As a broad-based professional and international journal, the EER welcomes submissions of applied and theoretical research papers in all fields of economics. The aim of the EER is to contribute to the development of the science of economics and its applications, as well as to improve communication between academic researchers, teachers and policy makers across the European continent and beyond.