快速气候变化下的北欧北北极地区：最近和未来趋势和极端事件的回顾

IF 10.8 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Earth-Science Reviews Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI:10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

Jarle W. Bjerke , Efrén López-Blanco , Hans Tømmervik , Anja Striberny , Corine Davids , Rannveig Ólafsdóttir , Stein Rune Karlsen , Per Sandström , Minna Turunen , Taru Rikkonen , Marit K. Arneberg , Sten Siikavuopio , Karl Zinglersen , Kristine Lynge-Pedersen , Stefan Sandström , Pasi Rautio

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引用次数: 0

摘要

北极放大效应影响着地质、冰冻圈和受海洋影响的高纬度陆地的总体环境。这项研究综合了北欧北北极地区近期和未来气候变化的信息。研究区域包括格陵兰岛、冰岛、芬兰中部和北部、挪威（包括斯瓦尔巴群岛）和瑞典。所使用的气候情景来源于CMIP6 ECEarth3地球系统模式（ESM） 2015-2100年SSP2-4.5情景下的数据。该综合报告建立在全面的资料来源基础上，处理了所有季节的渐进气候变化和极端天气事件的频率。对冰冻圈、土壤、淡水系统、风、降水和危险事件频率正在进行的和预计的变化进行了全面的审查和讨论。

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Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events

The Arctic amplification affects the geology, cryosphere, and the total environment of high-latitude maritime-influenced lands. This study synthesizes information on recent and future climatic changes within the Nordic boreo-arctic region. The study area includes Greenland, Iceland, and the central and northern parts of Finland, Norway (incl. Svalbard), and Sweden. The climate scenarios used are derived from the CMIP6 ECEarth3 Earth System Model (ESM) data for the period 2015–2100 under the SSP2–4.5 scenario. The synthesis builds upon a comprehensive range of sources, addressing both gradual climatic changes and the frequency of extreme weather events across all seasons. Ongoing and projected changes to the cryosphere, soil, freshwater systems, wind, precipitation, and frequency of hazardous events are comprehensively reviewed and discussed.

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来源期刊

Earth-Science Reviews 地学-地球科学综合

CiteScore

21.70

自引率

5.80%

发文量

294

审稿时长

15.1 weeks

期刊介绍： Covering a much wider field than the usual specialist journals, Earth Science Reviews publishes review articles dealing with all aspects of Earth Sciences, and is an important vehicle for allowing readers to see their particular interest related to the Earth Sciences as a whole.