南亚的难题:将潜力转化为持续进步

IF 4.5 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Sanjay Kathuria
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引用次数: 0

摘要

南亚长期以来一直是一个潜力未被开发的地区,尽管取得了一些显著的成就,但在经济进步方面落后于东亚。“中国+ 1”为该地区利用其人口红利提供了另一个机会。本文以孟加拉国、印度、巴基斯坦和斯里兰卡为重点,强调了这些国家持续发展的主要障碍,包括保护主义贸易政策、人力资本不足以及相对于人口而言劳动力较少。对于斯里兰卡和巴基斯坦来说,还面临着应对持续经济危机的额外挑战。该分析提出了恢复/维持宏观经济稳定的备选方案,同时考虑到气候变化的财政层面;紧急行动,深化全球和区域贸易,抓住时机;应对许多国家面临的人力资本危机;加快数字解决方案,以改善治理和服务提供;利用区域合作帮助建立气候适应能力。本文还讨论了商业精英在影响经济政策方面的作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
South Asia's Conundrum: Turning Potential into Sustained Progress

South Asia has long been a region of untapped potential, lagging behind East Asia in economic progress, despite some remarkable successes. “China plus one” presents another opportunity for the region to capitalize on its demographic dividend. Focusing on Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, this article highlights major hurdles to their sustained progress, including protectionist trade policies, inadequate human capital, and a small labor force relative to population. For Sri Lanka and Pakistan, there are the additional challenges of coping with ongoing economic crises. The analysis suggests options to regaining/sustaining macroeconomic stability, while factoring in the fiscal dimension of climate change; acting urgently to deepen global and regional trade, to seize the moment; addressing the near crisis in human capital in many countries; accelerating digital solutions to improve governance and service delivery; and using regional cooperation to help build climate resilience. The role of business elites in influencing economic policies is also discussed.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
12.90
自引率
2.60%
发文量
39
期刊介绍: The goal of the Asian Economic Policy Review is to become an intellectual voice on the current issues of international economics and economic policy, based on comprehensive and in-depth analyses, with a primary focus on Asia. Emphasis is placed on identifying key issues at the time - spanning international trade, international finance, the environment, energy, the integration of regional economies and other issues - in order to furnish ideas and proposals to contribute positively to the policy debate in the region.
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