免费的学前教育能提高出生率吗？来自佛蒙特州的初步证据

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS

Research in Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-25 DOI:10.1016/j.rie.2025.101040

Masanori Kuroki

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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究调查了佛蒙特州2014年第166号法案对20-44岁女性出生率的影响，该法案建立了普遍的学前教育。与提高生育率的预期相反，在计划实施后，没有观察到总出生率、首次出生率或后续出生率有意义的增加。这与现有研究一致，表明生育政策的有效性有限。然而，与合成对照组相比，佛蒙特州的后续出生率下降速度比首次出生率慢，这暗示了对现有父母决定生育更多孩子的潜在积极影响。

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Does free pre-kindergarten increase birth rates? Preliminary evidence from Vermont

This study investigates the impact of Vermont's Act 166 of 2014, which established universal pre-kindergarten, on birth rates among women aged 20–44. Contrary to the expectation of increased fertility, no meaningful increase in total, first, or subsequent birth rates was observed after program implementation. This aligns with existing research suggesting limited effectiveness of pronatalist policies. However, subsequent birth rates in Vermont declined at a slower rate than first birth rates compared to a synthetic control group, hinting at a potential positive influence on existing parents' decisions to have additional children.

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来源期刊

Research in Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

1.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

89 days

期刊介绍： Established in 1947, Research in Economics is one of the oldest general-interest economics journals in the world and the main one among those based in Italy. The purpose of the journal is to select original theoretical and empirical articles that will have high impact on the debate in the social sciences; since 1947, it has published important research contributions on a wide range of topics. A summary of our editorial policy is this: the editors make a preliminary assessment of whether the results of a paper, if correct, are worth publishing. If so one of the associate editors reviews the paper: from the reviewer we expect to learn if the paper is understandable and coherent and - within reasonable bounds - the results are correct. We believe that long lags in publication and multiple demands for revision simply slow scientific progress. Our goal is to provide you a definitive answer within one month of submission. We give the editors one week to judge the overall contribution and if acceptable send your paper to an associate editor. We expect the associate editor to provide a more detailed evaluation within three weeks so that the editors can make a final decision before the month expires. In the (rare) case of a revision we allow four months and in the case of conditional acceptance we allow two months to submit the final version. In both cases we expect a cover letter explaining how you met the requirements. For conditional acceptance the editors will verify that the requirements were met. In the case of revision the original associate editor will do so. If the revision cannot be at least conditionally accepted it is rejected: there is no second revision.