关注气候变化历史——人口统计学研究。

Q3 Social Sciences
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-09 DOI:10.1553/p-hzdz-jega
Emily Klancher Merchant, Kathryn Grace
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化是我们这个时代最紧迫的挑战之一。虽然人文科学和社会科学经常被认为是自然科学和物理科学的问题,但它们对人类和气候之间相互关系的研究也做出了同样重要的干预。因为人口统计学是自然科学和社会科学的交叉学科,因为它专门研究社会和自然过程的变化率,我们相信它可以为理解和应对气候变化以及减轻它已经对世界上最脆弱的人们造成的伤害的紧迫需要做出宝贵的贡献。我们还认为,气候变化可能使人口学家有机会扩大我们在更精细的尺度上思考时间和空间的能力,并研究核心人口过程————死亡率、生育率和移徙————之间的关系,这些过程通常是相互孤立地考虑的。然而,负责任地利用气候变化来推进人口统计,利用人口统计来推进气候科学和政策,需要对历史有一个认识,这将有助于人口统计学家和那些使用我们的分析来避免重复过去危害的人,我们希望,创造新的危害。更广泛地理解人口统计学和人口环境思想的历史,可以帮助我们挑战过去没有很好地服务于科学或政策的假设——比如假设更多或更快增长的人口必然给环境带来更大的压力,独立于结构条件——并考虑可能导致更好的科学模型和政策解决方案的替代理论框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Attending to history in climate change-demography research.

Climate change is among the most urgent challenges of our time. While often considered a problem for the natural and physical sciences, the humanities and social sciences have made equally important interventions into research on the reciprocal relationship between humans and our climate. Because demography occupies the intersection of the natural and social sciences, and because it deals specifically with rates of change in social and natural processes, we believe it can make valuable contributions to the pressing imperatives of understanding and addressing climate change and mitigating the harms it is already visiting on the world's most vulnerable people. We also believe that climate change may afford demographers an opportunity to expand our capacity to think about time and space at finer scales, and to examine the relationships among the core demographic processes - mortality, fertility and migration - which have typically been considered in isolation from one another. Yet responsibly leveraging climate change to advance demography, and leveraging demography to advance climate science and policy, require a cognizance of history that will assist demographers and those who use our analyses in avoiding the replication of past harms and, we hope, the invention of new ones. Understanding the history of demography and of population-environment thought more broadly can help us challenge assumptions that have not served science or policy well in the past - such as the assumption that larger or faster-growing populations necessarily put more pressure on the environment, independent of structural conditions - and consider alternative theoretical framings that might lead to better scientific models and policy solutions.

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来源期刊
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research Social Sciences-Demography
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
11
期刊介绍: In Europe there is currently an increasing public awareness of the importance that demographic trends have in reshaping our societies. Concerns about possible negative consequences of population aging seem to be the major force behind this new interest in demographic research. Demographers have been pointing out the fundamental change in the age composition of European populations and its potentially serious implications for social security schemes for more than two decades but it is only now that the expected retirement of the baby boom generation has come close enough in time to appear on the radar screen of social security planners and political decision makers to be considered a real challenge and not just an academic exercise.
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