[压力下的海洋营养和社会生态网络:气候变化和海上风电场开发的累积影响研究]。

Q4 Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
Biologie Aujourd''hui Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-27 DOI:10.1051/jbio/2024012
Nathalie Niquil, Aurore Raoux, Maud Thermes, Rhoda Fofack-Garcia, Quentin Noguès
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在人类世时代,应用于海洋环境的营养模型面临的最大挑战之一是其耦合气候变化和当地人为活动的多重影响的能力,特别是海上风电场的发展。主要的挑战是创造情景,以描述它们对整个社会生态系统的功能的累积影响,以便提出适当的管理计划。虽然对社会生态网络的累积影响建模尚未广泛使用,但本综述文章中报告的数据表明,这种方法的相关性可以在海上风力发电的背景下建立。本文描述了两种建模过程:定量数学建模,模拟两种同时发生的压力对食物网络特性的影响;定性建模,可以基于参与式方法,更精细地表征治理和生态系统之间的反馈回路。这两种基于相互作用网络分析的定量和定性情景建模方法分别应用于未来的Courseulles-sur-Mer海上风电场(东英吉利海峡)和Groix-Belle-Ile试点风电场(大西洋)。最后,我们提出了一个基于Sato-Umi概念的研究视角,该概念侧重于将生态系统网络进化情景和集体行动能力增加相结合的建模框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[Marine trophic and socio-ecological networks under pressure: study of the cumulative impact of climate change and offshore wind farm development].

In the anthropocene era, one of the greatest challenges facing trophic modeling applied to the marine environment is its ability to couple the multiple effects of both climate change and local anthropogenic activities, notably the development of offshore wind farms. The major challenge is to create scenarios to characterize their cumulative effects on the functioning of the entire socio-ecological system, in order to propose appropriate management plans. Although modeling cumulative impact on socio-ecological networks is not yet widely used, data reported in the present review article show that the relevance of this approach could be established in the context of offshore wind power. Two modeling procedures are herein described: quantitative mathematical modelling to simulate the effect of two simultaneous pressures on food network properties, and qualitative modelling, which can be based on a participatory approach to more finely characterize feedback loops between governance and ecological systems. These two quantitative and qualitative scenarios modeling methods, based on interaction network analyses, were applied to the future Courseulles-sur-Mer offshore wind farm (eastern Channel), and to the Groix-Belle-Ile pilot wind farm (Atlantic). Finally, we present a research perspective, based on the Sato-Umi concept, which focuses on modeling frameworks combining ecosystem network evolution scenarios and an increased capacity for collective action.

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来源期刊
Biologie Aujourd''hui
Biologie Aujourd''hui Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology-Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology (all)
CiteScore
0.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
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