行为推动防止大规模贷款违约:一项1300万人的实地实验。

IF 9.1 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Robert Kuan, Kristin Blagg, Benjamin L Castleman, Rajeev Darolia, Jordan D Matsudaira, Katherine L Milkman, Lesley J Turner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国人总共持有超过1.6万亿美元的学生贷款债务,在过去的十年里,数百万借款人拖欠贷款,给他们的财务健康带来了严重后果。在美国教育部进行的一项1300万人的实地实验中,我们测试了不同的电子邮件干预措施的有效性,这些干预措施可以在借款人未按时偿还贷款后告知他们其他的还款选择。我们的干预措施测试了每月发送行为信息电子邮件、提供后续提醒、以百分比(相对于美元)形式确定收益、一次只提供一个(相对于两个)建议的行动步骤是否会影响借款人的结果。我们发现,i)行为信息电子邮件将估计的60天拖欠率降低了0.42个百分点,ii)提醒将此类电子邮件的效率提高了0.57个百分点,iii)以百分比描述潜在的节省比以美元描述这些好处更有效,减少了估计的拖欠率0.14个百分点,以及iv)鼓励两项行动(即,在两封电子邮件中重复加入收入驱动的还款计划和自动借帐计划)比在两封电子邮件中鼓励一次采取一项行动稍微有效一些,将估计的拖欠率降低了0.05个百分点。总的来说,如果在我们的实验中扩展到所有1300万借款人,我们估计我们表现最好的干预措施将避免大约79,800次60天的拖欠。我们的研究结果1)强调了以百分比描述潜在储蓄的好处,这可能会放大接受者的感知储蓄,2)强调了过度简化的风险,3)证明了轻推可以是减少拖欠和支持学生贷款债务借款人的其他政策的有效、低成本补充。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Behavioral nudges prevent loan delinquencies at scale: A 13-million-person field experiment.

Behavioral nudges prevent loan delinquencies at scale: A 13-million-person field experiment.

Behavioral nudges prevent loan delinquencies at scale: A 13-million-person field experiment.

Americans collectively hold over $1.6 trillion in student loan debt, and over the last decade millions of borrowers have defaulted on loans, with serious consequences for their financial health. In a 13-million-person field experiment with the U.S. Department of Education, we tested the effectiveness of different email interventions to inform borrowers about alternative repayment options after a missed loan payment. Our interventions tested whether sending monthly behaviorally-informed emails, providing follow-up reminders, framing benefits in percentage (vs. dollar) terms, and providing just one recommended action step at a time (vs. two) affected borrower outcomes. We find that i) behaviorally-informed emails reduce estimated 60-d delinquencies by 0.42 pp, ii) reminders boost the efficacy of such emails by 0.57 pp, iii) describing potential savings in percentage terms is more effective than describing these benefits in dollar terms, reducing estimated delinquencies by 0.14 pp, and iv) encouraging two actions (i.e., enrollment in income-driven repayment plans and auto debit programs) repeatedly across two emails is marginally more effective than encouraging one action at-a-time across two emails, reducing estimated delinquencies by 0.05 pp. Overall, if scaled to all 13-million borrowers in our experiment, we estimate that our best-performing intervention would have averted approximately 79,800 60-d delinquencies. Our findings i) highlight the benefits of describing potential savings in percentage terms, which may magnify perceived savings for recipients, ii) underscore the risks of oversimplification, and iii) demonstrate that nudges can be an effective, low-cost complement to other policies for reducing delinquencies and supporting borrowers with student loan debt.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
19.00
自引率
0.90%
发文量
3575
审稿时长
2.5 months
期刊介绍: The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer-reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS), serves as an authoritative source for high-impact, original research across the biological, physical, and social sciences. With a global scope, the journal welcomes submissions from researchers worldwide, making it an inclusive platform for advancing scientific knowledge.
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