2013-2023年云南省登革热流行病学及聚集性特征分析

IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Shu-Zhen Deng, Xiao-Yu Liu, Jian-Juan Su, Ling-Hui Xiang, Li-Tao Chang, Jun-Jie Zhu, Hai-Lin Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:云南省位于中国西南部和邻近东南亚登革热流行地区,2013年至2023年每年都发生登革热本土暴发。本研究旨在探讨云南省登革热的流行病学特征和时空聚类特征。方法:采用描述流行病学方法分析疫情特征。使用Excel 2019和ArcGIS 10.3软件建立病例库并进行制图。采用空间自相关和时空聚类分析对空间聚类特征进行了研究。结果:2013 - 2023年云南省共报告登革热病例30,666例,其中本地病例22,806例(74.37%),输入病例7,860例(25.63%)。每年报告从缅甸、老挝和越南输入的病例,当地疫情发生在6月至12月。大多数病例发生在年轻人中,主要是农民、服务工作者、家庭主妇和失业者。登革热发病具有明显的时空聚集性,7 - 11月以西双版纳、德宏、临沧、普洱、红河等地区局部聚集性较强;结论:云南省登革热本地暴发主要发生在与缅甸、老挝和越南接壤的边境地区。该省历史上最大的疫情发生在2023年,与2019冠状病毒病大流行后重新开放边境后输入病例增加有关。登革热在云南主要被认为是一种输入性疾病,强调需要加强跨境传播控制和蚊虫媒介管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Epidemiological and cluster characteristics of dengue fever in Yunnan Province, Southwestern China, 2013-2023.

Background: Yunnan Province, located in the southwestern part of China and neighboring endemic dengue regions of Southeast Asia, has experienced annual autochthonous outbreaks of dengue fever from 2013 to 2023. This study examines the epidemiological and spatiotemporal clustering characteristics of dengue within the province.

Methods: Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyse outbreak characteristics. Excel 2019 and ArcGIS 10.3 software were used to establish a case database and for mapping. Spatial autocorrelation and spatio-temporal clustering analysis were employed to study the features of spatial clustering.

Results: From 2013 to 2023, 30,666 dengue cases were reported in Yunnan Province, of which 22,806 (74.37%) were indigenous and 7,860 (25.63%) were imported. Imported cases from Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam were reported each year, with indigenous outbreaks occurring from June to December. The majority of cases occurred among young adults, mainly farmers, service workers, homemakers, and the unemployed. There was a significant temporal and spatial clustering of dengue incidence, with intense local clustering in the southwestern border areas of the province from July to November, particularly in Xishuangbanna, Dehong, Lincang, Pu'er, and Honghe prefectures.

Conclusion: Autochthonous outbreaks of dengue fever in Yunnan Province occurred predominantly in the border areas adjacent to Myanmar, Laos, and Vietnam. The largest outbreak in the province's history occurred in 2023, related to the increase in imported cases following the reopening of borders after the COVID-19 pandemic. Dengue fever is considered primarily an imported disease in Yunnan, emphasizing the need for enhanced control of cross-border transmission and mosquito vector management.

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来源期刊
BMC Infectious Diseases
BMC Infectious Diseases 医学-传染病学
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
860
审稿时长
3.3 months
期刊介绍: BMC Infectious Diseases is an open access, peer-reviewed journal that considers articles on all aspects of the prevention, diagnosis and management of infectious and sexually transmitted diseases in humans, as well as related molecular genetics, pathophysiology, and epidemiology.
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