三维视角下多类型干旱的时空演变与传播特征

IF 6.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL
Dan Li , Yibo Ding , Zhaoqiang Zhou , Tian Wang , Renjuan Wei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化将增加干旱的风险、严重程度和经济损失。基于三维视角,可以深入理解干旱的时空演变与传播。本研究分别使用标准化降水蒸散指数、标准化径流指数和标准化土壤水分指数来描述气象干旱、水文干旱和农业干旱。利用三维连通性识别方法对干旱事件进行识别,深入研究干旱斑块的空间演化特征。在此基础上,通过干旱传播速率和相关分析,对中国不同气候区域的干旱传播进行了估算。结果表明,三维连通性识别方法可以通过对比和记录大干旱灾害,准确识别大干旱事件特征(包括时间和区域)。在不同气候区,气象干旱事件的面积覆盖比例、频率、强度和严重程度均高于水文和农业干旱事件。三维连通性识别方法能够准确再现历史典型干旱事件的时空演变过程。相关系数和干旱传播比均表明,中国气象干旱对农业的干旱传播程度大于气象干旱对水文的干旱传播程度。在华北暖温带湿润和亚湿润气候区、华中和华南亚热带湿润气候区、华南热带湿润气候区,干旱从气象到农业的传播程度相对较强。干旱繁殖比可以弥补相关系数在繁殖方向不确定性方面的不足。该研究有助于了解干旱的形成和演变,为干旱的三维空间预测和监测提供参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The spatiotemporal evolution and propagation characteristics of multiple drought types from a three-dimensional perspective
Climate change will increase drought risk, severity, and economic losses. The spatiotemporal evolution and propagation of droughts could be deeply understood based on three-dimensional perspective. In this study, The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, Standardized Runoff Index, and Standardized Soil Moisture Index was used to describe meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought, respectively. We identified drought events by the three-dimensional connectedness recognition method and deeply investigate spatial evolution characteristics of drought patches. Subsequently, we compared recorded and identified drought events, and estimate drought propagation in different climate regions of China with drought propagation rate and correlation analysis. The results indicated that the three-dimensional connectedness recognition method could accurately identify large drought event characteristics (including time and area) by comparing and recording large drought disasters. The meteorological drought events usually had higher area coverage proportion, frequency, intensity, and severity than hydrological and agricultural drought events over different climate regions. The three-dimensional connectedness recognition method could accurately recur the spatiotemporal evolution process of historical typical drought events. Both the correlation coefficient and drought propagation ratio showed that drought propagation from meteorological drought to agricultural was larger degree than from meteorological drought to hydrological in China. Moreover, drought had relatively stronger propagation degree from meteorological to agricultural in climate regions of the warm-temperate humid and sub-humid north China, the subtropical humid central and south China, and the tropic humid south China. The drought propagation ratio could complement the uncertainty in the propagation direction shortcomings of the correlation coefficient. This study would be helpful to understand the formation and evolution of drought and provides a reference for three-dimensional spatial prediction and monitoring of drought.
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来源期刊
Journal of Hydrology
Journal of Hydrology 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
1309
审稿时长
7.5 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Hydrology publishes original research papers and comprehensive reviews in all the subfields of the hydrological sciences including water based management and policy issues that impact on economics and society. These comprise, but are not limited to the physical, chemical, biogeochemical, stochastic and systems aspects of surface and groundwater hydrology, hydrometeorology and hydrogeology. Relevant topics incorporating the insights and methodologies of disciplines such as climatology, water resource systems, hydraulics, agrohydrology, geomorphology, soil science, instrumentation and remote sensing, civil and environmental engineering are included. Social science perspectives on hydrological problems such as resource and ecological economics, environmental sociology, psychology and behavioural science, management and policy analysis are also invited. Multi-and interdisciplinary analyses of hydrological problems are within scope. The science published in the Journal of Hydrology is relevant to catchment scales rather than exclusively to a local scale or site.
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