东南亚2009年H1N1和COVID-19大流行期间季节性流感传播的中断及其演变

IF 15.7 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Zhiyuan Chen, Joseph L.-H. Tsui, Jun Cai, Shuo Su, Cécile Viboud, Louis du Plessis, Philippe Lemey, Moritz U. G. Kraemer, Hongjie Yu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

东亚、南亚和东南亚(以下统称东南亚)已被认为是推动季节性流感全球传播的关键地区。然而,东南亚的季节性流感迁移网络仍不清楚,包括与大流行有关的中断如何改变了这一网络。我们利用2007-2023年间的遗传、流行病学和航空旅行数据,描述了A/H3N2和B/维多利亚流感病毒在东南亚内外的传播模式,包括2009年A/H1N1和COVID-19大流行期间的传播模式。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,这两种亚型/谱系从东南亚到温带地区的持续秋冬运动波被中断,但A/H1N1大流行仅中断了A/H3N2传播。我们发现,在东南亚,a /H3N2比B/Victoria循环的持久性更高,并且与大流行之间的水平相比,确定了两次大流行之间a /H3N2抗原进化的明显大流行相关中断;利用遗传距离在B/Victoria中观察到类似的模式。在2019冠状病毒病大流行季节,以及2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行季节,东南亚内部运动结构明显分化。我们的研究结果提供了对两种不同的大流行相关破坏对流感循环的异质影响的见解,这可以帮助预测未来大流行和潜在的缓解策略对流感动态的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Disruption of seasonal influenza circulation and evolution during the 2009 H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics in Southeastern Asia

Disruption of seasonal influenza circulation and evolution during the 2009 H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics in Southeastern Asia

East, South, and Southeast Asia (together referred to as Southeastern Asia hereafter) have been recognized as critical areas fuelling the global circulation of seasonal influenza. However, the seasonal influenza migration network within Southeastern Asia remains unclear, including how pandemic-related disruptions altered this network. We leveraged genetic, epidemiological, and airline travel data between 2007-2023 to characterise the dispersal patterns of influenza A/H3N2 and B/Victoria viruses both out of and within Southeastern Asia, including during perturbations by the 2009 A/H1N1 and COVID-19 pandemics. During the COVID-19 pandemic, consistent autumn-winter movement waves from Southeastern Asia to temperate regions were interrupted for both subtype/lineages, however the A/H1N1 pandemic only disrupted A/H3N2 spread. We find a higher persistence of A/H3N2 than B/Victoria circulation in Southeastern Asia and identify distinct pandemic-related disruptions in A/H3N2 antigenic evolution between two pandemics, compared to interpandemic levels; similar patterns are observed in B/Victoria using genetic distance. The internal movement structure within Southeastern Asia markedly diverged during the COVID-19 pandemic season, and to a lesser extent, during the 2009 A/H1N1 pandemic season. Our findings provide insights into the heterogeneous impact of two distinct pandemic-related disruptions on influenza circulation, which can help anticipate the effects of future pandemics and potential mitigation strategies on influenza dynamics.

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来源期刊
Nature Communications
Nature Communications Biological Science Disciplines-
CiteScore
24.90
自引率
2.40%
发文量
6928
审稿时长
3.7 months
期刊介绍: Nature Communications, an open-access journal, publishes high-quality research spanning all areas of the natural sciences. Papers featured in the journal showcase significant advances relevant to specialists in each respective field. With a 2-year impact factor of 16.6 (2022) and a median time of 8 days from submission to the first editorial decision, Nature Communications is committed to rapid dissemination of research findings. As a multidisciplinary journal, it welcomes contributions from biological, health, physical, chemical, Earth, social, mathematical, applied, and engineering sciences, aiming to highlight important breakthroughs within each domain.
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