通过综合中止和备用支援优化控制任务危险。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-01-04 DOI:10.1111/risa.17696
Li Yang, Fanping Wei, Xiaobing Ma, Qingan Qiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了与执行特定任务所需的安全关键系统相关的风险管理挑战。工作部件经历由连续离散状态马尔可夫链控制的退化,其失效将导致系统立即崩溃和安全损失。为了提高系统的生存能力,在整个任务过程中,有限数量的相同备件可用于在线更换。同时,在遇到过多安全隐患时,会迅速采取任务中止行动。为了在任务完成和系统生存能力之间取得最佳平衡,我们深入研究了部件更换和任务终止决策的自适应调度。该联合决策问题构成了一个有限时间马尔可夫决策过程,在有限时间马尔可夫决策过程中,我们分析了与备件可用性和部件条件相关的一系列结构性质。特别是,我们为备件更换和任务终止决策建立了结构化的控制限制策略。为了比较,我们分析地评估了各种启发式策略的性能。对雷达设备驱动系统进行了数值实验,验证了该模型在提高操作性能的同时降低了危害风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Controlling mission hazards through integrated abort and spare support optimization.

This study explores the risk management challenges associated with safety-critical systems required to execute specific missions. The working component experiences degradation governed by a continuous-time discrete-state Markov chain, whose failure leads to an immediate system breakdown and safety losses. To enhance system survivability, a limited number of identical spares are available for online replacement throughout the mission. At the same time, the mission abort action arises promptly upon encountering excessive safety hazards. To strike an optimal balance between mission completion and system survivability, we delve into the adaptive scheduling of component replacements and mission termination decisions. The joint decision problem of interest constitutes a finite-time Markov decision process with resource limitation, under which we analyze a series of structural properties related to spare availability and component conditions. In particular, we establish structured control-limit policies for both spare replacement and mission termination decisions. For comparison purposes, we evaluate the performance of various heuristic policies analytically. Numerical experiments conducted on the driver system of radar equipment validate the superior model performance in enhancing operational performance while simultaneously mitigating hazard risks.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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