基于ivmd - dcinforma - hssa网络的超短期风电预测

IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
Wei Li, Lu Gao, Fei Zhang, XiaoYing Ren, Ling Qin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风力发电的可变性和不可预测性对电网管理和规划提出了重大挑战。提高风电预测的准确性对于提高可再生能源系统的可靠性至关重要。为了提高风电时间预测的准确性,引入了IVMD-DCInformer-HSSA框架。首先,利用改进的变分模态分解(IVMD)技术将原始风电数据分解为多个本征模态函数(IMF)分量。随后,利用麻雀搜索算法(Sparrow search algorithm, HSSA)对增强的Informer深度神经网络参数进行优化,并将优化后的参数整合到改进的Informer模型中。然后将由IVMD分解产生的每个IMF组成部分的预测结合起来,以产生最终的预测结果。实验结果表明,所提出的组合模型的r平方值提高到0.9903,与其他模型相比,精度提高1% ~ 3%,具有较好的预测效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

IDHNet: Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting With IVMD–DCInformer–HSSA Network

IDHNet: Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting With IVMD–DCInformer–HSSA Network

The variability and unpredictability of wind power generation present significant challenges for grid management and planning. Enhancing the accuracy of wind power forecasting is crucial for improving the reliability of renewable energy systems. To enhance the accuracy of temporal wind power predictions, the IVMD–DCInformer–HSSA framework has been introduced. Initially, the original wind power data is decomposed into multiple intrinsic mode function (IMF) components using the improved variational mode decomposition (IVMD) technique. Subsequently, the Sparrow search algorithm (HSSA) is employed to optimize the parameters of the enhanced Informer deep neural network, which are then integrated into the improved Informer model. The predictions of each IMF component resulting from the IVMD decomposition are then combined to generate the final prediction outcome. The experimental results show that the R-squared value of the proposed combined model is increased to 0.9903, and the accuracy is increased by 1%–3% compared with other models, which has a good prediction effect.

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来源期刊
Energy Science & Engineering
Energy Science & Engineering Engineering-Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
7.90%
发文量
298
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Science & Engineering is a peer reviewed, open access journal dedicated to fundamental and applied research on energy and supply and use. Published as a co-operative venture of Wiley and SCI (Society of Chemical Industry), the journal offers authors a fast route to publication and the ability to share their research with the widest possible audience of scientists, professionals and other interested people across the globe. Securing an affordable and low carbon energy supply is a critical challenge of the 21st century and the solutions will require collaboration between scientists and engineers worldwide. This new journal aims to facilitate collaboration and spark innovation in energy research and development. Due to the importance of this topic to society and economic development the journal will give priority to quality research papers that are accessible to a broad readership and discuss sustainable, state-of-the art approaches to shaping the future of energy. This multidisciplinary journal will appeal to all researchers and professionals working in any area of energy in academia, industry or government, including scientists, engineers, consultants, policy-makers, government officials, economists and corporate organisations.
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