中东稳定所需的美国战略转变

IF 0.6 4区 社会学 Q2 AREA STUDIES
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
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引用次数: 0

摘要

10 月 7 日的袭击和以色列在加沙地带的报复行动使中东比以往任何时候都更接近全面战争。当分析家们关注特拉维夫和德黑兰之间的长期敌意时,本文认为,只有美国改变政策,尤其是对伊朗的政策,该地区才能走向稳定。结束长达 40 年的敌对关系不仅有助于降低以伊战争旷日持久的可能性,还能为解决黎巴嫩、叙利亚、也门和伊拉克危机创造必要条件。关键在于重启核谈判,达成一项能够缓和威胁西亚安全的对立的协议。作者曾作为伊朗官员参与了 2000 年代初的几轮核谈判,他分析了美国和伊朗之间的竞争,提出了如何迈向无核地区的建议,并对美国战略的转变提出了建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The US Strategic Shifts Necessary For Stability in the Middle East

The combination of the October 7 attacks and Israel's retaliation in the Gaza Strip has brought the Middle East closer than ever to all-out war. While analysts focus on the long-running enmity between Tel Aviv and Tehran, this article contends that the region can move toward stability only with changes in US policy, especially toward Iran. Ending 40 years of hostile relations would not only help reduce the likelihood of a prolonged Israel-Iran war but also create the conditions necessary to resolve crises in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Iraq. The key is to revive the nuclear negotiations and move to a deal that can tamp down rivalries that threaten West Asian security. The author, who as an Iranian official participated in early rounds of nuclear talks in the early 2000s, analyzes the US-Iran rivalry, recommends how to move toward a nuclear-free region, and makes recommendations for shifts in American strategy.

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来源期刊
Middle East Policy
Middle East Policy Multiple-
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
20.00%
发文量
49
期刊介绍: The most frequently cited journal on the Middle East region in the field of international affairs, Middle East Policy has been engaging thoughtful minds for more than 25 years. Since its inception in 1982, the journal has been recognized as a valuable addition to the Washington-based policy discussion. Middle East Policy provides an influential forum for a wide range of views on U.S. interests in the region and the value of the policies that are supposed to promote them.
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