基于博弈论组合加权-不确定度量理论的驱动风险评估

IF 2 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL
Lingyu Zhang, Dehui Sun, Lili Zhang, Li Wang
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Drive Risk Assessment Based on Game Theory Combinatorial Weighting—Unascertained Measure Theory

Drive Risk Assessment Based on Game Theory Combinatorial Weighting—Unascertained Measure Theory

The driving risk is assessed using the theory of unascertained measures to determine the presence of a conditional switch in the control system of a human-machine codriving vehicle. Relevant risk indicators for driving are selected, including five driver-related indicators and three vehicle-related indicators. Subsequently, each indicator’s threshold range and associated risk level are analyzed and defined. The methodologies for establishing unascertained measure and their corresponding functions for both single and multiple indicator unascertained measure are then elucidated. A game theory–based weighting method is proposed, employing ordinal relationship analysis (ORA) and entropy weighting (EW) to determine indicator weights while utilizing confidence identification criteria to ascertain risk levels. Finally, experimental analyses are conducted on the driving risk assessment model, and the simulation results demonstrated the model’s ability to distinguish between normal and risky driving. In a continuous driving simulation, the model successfully identified a peak risk period (Level V) and, following a system alert, driving behavior returned to normal risk levels within 5 min. The model demonstrated utility for control switching decisions in human-machine codriving scenarios, identifying instances where driver risk (Level IV) significantly exceeded vehicle risk (Level II), indicating a need to transfer control to the vehicle system. Consequently, the study’s findings can provide theoretical support for control switching mechanisms in human-machine codriving vehicles.

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来源期刊
Journal of Advanced Transportation
Journal of Advanced Transportation 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
8.70%
发文量
466
审稿时长
7.3 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Advanced Transportation (JAT) is a fully peer reviewed international journal in transportation research areas related to public transit, road traffic, transport networks and air transport. It publishes theoretical and innovative papers on analysis, design, operations, optimization and planning of multi-modal transport networks, transit & traffic systems, transport technology and traffic safety. Urban rail and bus systems, Pedestrian studies, traffic flow theory and control, Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) and automated and/or connected vehicles are some topics of interest. Highway engineering, railway engineering and logistics do not fall within the aims and scope of JAT.
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