Simulation-Based Approach to Assessing Short-Term Power Variations of PV Power Plants Under Cloud Conditions

The output power variability of photovoltaic (PV) power plants (PVPPs) is one of the major challenges for the operation and control of power systems. The short-term power variations, mainly caused by cloud movements, affect voltage magnitude and frequency, which may degrade power quality and power system reliability. Comprehensive analyses of these power variations are crucial to formulate novel control approaches and assist power system operators in the operation and control of power systems. Thus, this paper proposes a simulation-based approach to assessing short-term power variations caused by clouds in PV power plants. A comprehensive assessment of the short-term power variations in a PV power plant operating under cloud conditions is another contribution of this paper. The performed analysis evaluates the individual impact of multiple weather condition parameters on the magnitude and ramp rate of the power variations. The simulation-based approach synthesizes the solar irradiance time series using three-dimensional fractal surfaces. The proposed assessment approach has shown that the PVPP nominal power, timescale, cloud coverage level, wind speed, period of the day, and shadow intensity level significantly affect the characteristics of the power variations.