IF 6.4 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Alexander Kagan, Donna R Zwas, Ziona Haklai, Hagai Levine
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景 据报道,在 COVID-19 大流行期间,急性冠状动脉综合征 (ACS) 发病率急剧下降。本研究旨在评估全国范围内不同年龄和性别亚群以及普通人群的急性冠状动脉综合征急诊科(ED)就诊率,并在大流行之前和整个大流行期间进行比较。方法 采用多重中断时间序列分析法,评估 2018 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月期间全国范围内 61 349 例 ACS 住院就诊情况,每月间隔一次。研究期间分为三个阶段:2018年1月至2020年2月(流行前期);2020年3月至2021年1月(流行前期);2021年2月至2021年12月(流行后期)。使用具有季节调整自回归移动平均结构的分段回归建立预测模型,并估计参考趋势线(反事实)。结果 在大流行早期的 11 个月中(锁定期),65 岁及以上女性的就诊人次降幅最大,达 18.4% [发病率比 (IRR) 0.82; 95% 置信区间 (CI) 0.77-0.86]。25-64 岁男性的减少率最低,为 7.2%(发病率比为 0.93;0.91-0.94)。在大流行后期,由于疫苗接种覆盖率高且没有封锁,25-64 岁女性的平均降幅最大,为 20.1%(IRR 0.80;0.75-0.84)。结论 大流行对 ACS 急诊就诊率的影响各不相同,在 COVID-19 发病率和死亡率较高的阶段,就诊率大幅下降。老年人(尤其是女性)的 ACS 急诊就诊率降幅最大,这凸显了在未来的突发卫生事件中,有必要制定有针对性的公共卫生策略,以保持公众对获得重症护理的信心。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Acute coronary syndrome rates by age and sex before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Israel: nationwide study
Background There have been reports of sharp declines in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) during the COVID-19 pandemic. The study aims to assess nationwide ACS emergency department (ED) visit rates across age and sex subgroups and the general population, with a comparison before and throughout the pandemic’s various phases. Methods A multiple interrupted time series analysis was used to assess 61 349 ACS nationwide hospital visits from January 2018 to December 2021 at monthly intervals. The study period was divided into three periods: January 2018–February 2020 (pre-pandemic period); March 2020–January 2021 (early-pandemic period); February 2021–December 2021 (late-pandemic period). Segmented regression with a seasonally adjusted autoregressive moving average structure was used to build predictive models with an estimated reference trendline (counterfactual). Results Over 11 months of the early-pandemic period (lockdowns), the largest decrease in visits was seen in women aged 65 and above, of 18.4% [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.77–0.86]. The lowest decrease was observed in men aged 25–64, of 7.2% (IRR 0.93; 0.91–0.94). During the late-pandemic period, which included high vaccination coverage and no lockdowns, the largest further decrease was in women aged 25–64 of 20.1% (IRR 0.80; 0.75–0.84) on average. Conclusions The pandemic influenced ACS ED visits variably, with substantial declines during phases of high COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. Older individuals, particularly women, demonstrated the largest decrease in ACS ED visits, highlighting the need for tailored public health strategies to maintain public confidence in access to critical care during future health emergencies.
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来源期刊
International journal of epidemiology
International journal of epidemiology 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
13.60
自引率
2.60%
发文量
226
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Epidemiology is a vital resource for individuals seeking to stay updated on the latest advancements and emerging trends in the field of epidemiology worldwide. The journal fosters communication among researchers, educators, and practitioners involved in the study, teaching, and application of epidemiology pertaining to both communicable and non-communicable diseases. It also includes research on health services and medical care. Furthermore, the journal presents new methodologies in epidemiology and statistics, catering to professionals working in social and preventive medicine. Published six times a year, the International Journal of Epidemiology provides a comprehensive platform for the analysis of data. Overall, this journal is an indispensable tool for staying informed and connected within the dynamic realm of epidemiology.
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