面对未来:美国法医学会的技术与 "宣传"。

IF 1.5 4区 医学 Q2 MEDICINE, LEGAL
Christopher R. Thompson MD
{"title":"面对未来:美国法医学会的技术与 \"宣传\"。","authors":"Christopher R. Thompson MD","doi":"10.1111/1556-4029.15676","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Most scientific organizations assiduously avoid using the term “advocacy” to describe their activities in order to avoid being perceived as biased or partisan. This is understandable given the general connotation of the word. However, “advocacy” has a potentially broad range of meanings. In its most extreme form, it could involve organizations (or their individual members) endorsing controversial positions, particular political parties, or even specific candidates.</p><p>With regard to this endeavor as it relates to forensic science organizations in general, however, it generally has focused on an educative process for policymakers (e.g., the judiciary, legislatures, executive/administrative/regulatory agencies) and the public (e.g., interested individual citizens, the news media). The goal of this process has been to keep these entities and individuals apprised of existing scientific principles, new research and developments, and practical matters related to the practice of forensic science. Armed with this information, these entities can make well-informed decisions about regulations, legislation, and specific cases (among other things) involving various aspects of forensic science. Consequently, AAFS's process of education of policymakers and the public can accurately be described as “advocacy.” However, in this process, we are not advocating for a specific outcome or outcomes, but rather for sound processes, both from an ethical and scientific standpoint. In some cases, we may advocate for continued or additional resources to support the continuation, development, and/or implementation of such sound processes.</p><p>Lastly, and incredibly importantly, our society is seeing exponential, revolutionary advances in technology. Some of these are impacting and will impact almost every vocation, as well as society as a whole (e.g., artificial intelligence), while others may have more targeted effects (e.g., forensic genealogy, risk assessment algorithms, use of fMRI in forensic psychiatry). In part because of the magnitude of the ramifications of these technologies' impact on forensic science, I strongly believe AAFS has an obligation to advise policymakers about the appropriate implementation and use of these technologies, in both legal and other forensic science-related settings. Additionally, because these technological advances likely will tremendously affect the day-to-day practice of almost all subspecialties of forensic science, it would be wise for AAFS (and its members) to monitor closely the development and implementation of these innovations. This will help the Academy and its members remain professionally competent and “up-to-date” with current practice standards.</p><p>For the aforementioned reasons, AAFS should embrace a relatively broad educational mission and vision, one that includes not only its members but also governmental entities and the public. Obviously, this “advocacy” should only involve select matters about which AAFS and its members have collective and individual expertise and, perhaps, unique perspectives. In addition, our input must be guided by the existing scientific literature, the Academy's aggregated knowledge and experience, and, in some situations, pragmatic workforce concerns. In this process, we must be candid in acknowledging the limits both in our expertise and in the scientific literature. But perhaps most crucially, the Academy must ensure that during this process, which may at times include vigorous, healthy debate, our membership does not become permanently fractured. I believe we can accomplish this goal by focusing on the goal of advancing understanding of various subspecialties of forensic science and practice-related issues rather than endorsing specific ideological viewpoints.</p><p>The AAFS is the pre-eminent forensic science organization in the United States, and probably the world. Although other forensic science professional organizations also operate at the intersection of science/medicine and the law, AAFS is unique in that it represents practitioners from across the forensic science community, and therefore has a broad range of expertise. Additionally, its and its members' views are informed (and sometimes beneficially tempered by) interactions with members of other sections, which helps it (and us) see the forensic science landscape more fully.</p><p>AAFS has over 6000 members, who hail from every state in the United States, a host of other countries, and a wide variety of areas of expertise. AAFS consists of 12 sections that collectively represent practitioners from across the forensic science community. Plainly, AAFS has, through its members and their affiliations, an incredible wealth of knowledge of the forensic sciences and the interplay of different forensic science subspecialties.</p><p>Policymakers from every branch of the federal and state governments are grappling with how to address issues related to forensic science, particularly regulatory and quasi-regulatory standards, as well as the implementation of new forensic science technologies that are coming online now or in the near future. Given the stakes, it is not surprising that they are actively seeking organized forensic science's input on multiple aspects of these concerns.</p><p>Over the past 100 years, many authors have described a dystopian future based on technology's negative impact on society. Huxley, Orwell, Asimov, and others have predicted grim futures for our species. Hollywood, too, has offered similar visions for the next century of humankind, with innumerable films about technology's potentially negative impact on the world as we know it, <i>Bladerunner</i>, <i>Gattaca</i>, and <i>Ex Machina</i> to name a few. Thankfully, these futures have not yet (at least fully) come to pass.</p><p>In the past ten years, a new author has started to raise alarm bells regarding the near-term, very troubling potential impact of technology on various aspects of our lives. Yuval Harari PhD, an Oxford-education Professor of History at Hebrew University of Jerusalem, has written extensively about this topic, in books such as <i>Homo Deus</i> (2017) [<span>4</span>], <i>21 Lessons for the 21st Century</i> (2018) [<span>5</span>], and <i>Nexus</i> (2024) [<span>6</span>] and in magazine articles, including <i>Why Technology Favors Tyranny</i> (2018) [<span>7</span>]. Harari also has been a regular on the talk show circuit (e.g., <i>Real Time with Bill Maher</i>) and is, strangely, a Silicon Valley darling, despite the somewhat dark future he paints and the degree to which he, mostly tacitly, holds technology companies accountable for this potential future.</p><p>In his work and during his appearances, Harari makes the case that the exponential speed at which new technologies are being developed, refined, and deployed may render our society almost unrecognizable in the near future. He also argues that AI and biotechnologies may erode the practical advantages of western democracies (i.e., information decentralization) and ultimately advantage authoritarian regimes. Specifically, Harari examines the effects on our society of (among other things): artificial intelligence (AI) and automation; the increasing use and importance of algorithms; these algorithms being able to predict our desires and subsequent behaviors with increasing accuracy; the growing importance of artificial vs. human intelligence; and the “myth of free will” (based on neuroimaging studies, among other things) [<span>3</span>].</p><p>Regardless of whether or when we ultimately arrive at Huxley's, Orwell's, Asimov's, and/or Harari's dystopian future, in the near term, both current and anticipated technological advances will impact remarkably every aspect of our lives and almost all professions, including the forensic sciences. AAFS, among other organizations, will be crucial in initially vetting, testing, and, if appropriate, utilizing these new technologies as they become available. As mentioned previously, policymakers and the public will need organized forensic science's input on multiple aspects of these advances, for the betterment of society.</p><p>The 2025 AAFS Annual Scientific Conference in Baltimore, Maryland, will examine the responsible, ethical, and just use of existing and new technologies in the forensic sciences. The meeting will be titled “Technology: A Tool for Transformation or Tyranny?” Some readers (and attendees) may find this title hyperbolic and/or alarmist, but as mentioned previously, technological advances are occurring at a remarkable, even exponential, pace and will be present in almost every field of forensic science in the near future. These tools have extraordinary promise but also great potential peril. In addition to the aforementioned technologies, I'm sure readers can think of others that soon likely will impact each of their section's members in their professional practices.</p><p>In my opinion, the Academy's proactively (to the extent possible) considering addressing these issues will be incredibly important for both societal/altruistic reasons and professional relevance. The Academy is uniquely poised to address these challenges, given its diverse membership and varied sections, that can each provide a different perspective and can collaborate to this end.</p><p>I realize that the Academy will continue to grapple with and address these matters for many years past the end of my presidential term and that our position(s) will continue to evolve. My goal for my term is merely to “begin the conversation” around these topics on an Academy-wide basis, and hope for future leadership and membership to address these issues in as proactive a manner as we can. Based on my experiences with upcoming AAFS leaders and members generally, I am quite certain that we are in good hands.</p>","PeriodicalId":15743,"journal":{"name":"Journal of forensic sciences","volume":"70 1","pages":"5-8"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1556-4029.15676","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Facing the future: Technology and “advocacy” at the American Academy of Forensic Sciences\",\"authors\":\"Christopher R. Thompson MD\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1556-4029.15676\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Most scientific organizations assiduously avoid using the term “advocacy” to describe their activities in order to avoid being perceived as biased or partisan. This is understandable given the general connotation of the word. However, “advocacy” has a potentially broad range of meanings. In its most extreme form, it could involve organizations (or their individual members) endorsing controversial positions, particular political parties, or even specific candidates.</p><p>With regard to this endeavor as it relates to forensic science organizations in general, however, it generally has focused on an educative process for policymakers (e.g., the judiciary, legislatures, executive/administrative/regulatory agencies) and the public (e.g., interested individual citizens, the news media). The goal of this process has been to keep these entities and individuals apprised of existing scientific principles, new research and developments, and practical matters related to the practice of forensic science. Armed with this information, these entities can make well-informed decisions about regulations, legislation, and specific cases (among other things) involving various aspects of forensic science. Consequently, AAFS's process of education of policymakers and the public can accurately be described as “advocacy.” However, in this process, we are not advocating for a specific outcome or outcomes, but rather for sound processes, both from an ethical and scientific standpoint. In some cases, we may advocate for continued or additional resources to support the continuation, development, and/or implementation of such sound processes.</p><p>Lastly, and incredibly importantly, our society is seeing exponential, revolutionary advances in technology. Some of these are impacting and will impact almost every vocation, as well as society as a whole (e.g., artificial intelligence), while others may have more targeted effects (e.g., forensic genealogy, risk assessment algorithms, use of fMRI in forensic psychiatry). In part because of the magnitude of the ramifications of these technologies' impact on forensic science, I strongly believe AAFS has an obligation to advise policymakers about the appropriate implementation and use of these technologies, in both legal and other forensic science-related settings. Additionally, because these technological advances likely will tremendously affect the day-to-day practice of almost all subspecialties of forensic science, it would be wise for AAFS (and its members) to monitor closely the development and implementation of these innovations. This will help the Academy and its members remain professionally competent and “up-to-date” with current practice standards.</p><p>For the aforementioned reasons, AAFS should embrace a relatively broad educational mission and vision, one that includes not only its members but also governmental entities and the public. Obviously, this “advocacy” should only involve select matters about which AAFS and its members have collective and individual expertise and, perhaps, unique perspectives. In addition, our input must be guided by the existing scientific literature, the Academy's aggregated knowledge and experience, and, in some situations, pragmatic workforce concerns. In this process, we must be candid in acknowledging the limits both in our expertise and in the scientific literature. But perhaps most crucially, the Academy must ensure that during this process, which may at times include vigorous, healthy debate, our membership does not become permanently fractured. I believe we can accomplish this goal by focusing on the goal of advancing understanding of various subspecialties of forensic science and practice-related issues rather than endorsing specific ideological viewpoints.</p><p>The AAFS is the pre-eminent forensic science organization in the United States, and probably the world. Although other forensic science professional organizations also operate at the intersection of science/medicine and the law, AAFS is unique in that it represents practitioners from across the forensic science community, and therefore has a broad range of expertise. Additionally, its and its members' views are informed (and sometimes beneficially tempered by) interactions with members of other sections, which helps it (and us) see the forensic science landscape more fully.</p><p>AAFS has over 6000 members, who hail from every state in the United States, a host of other countries, and a wide variety of areas of expertise. AAFS consists of 12 sections that collectively represent practitioners from across the forensic science community. Plainly, AAFS has, through its members and their affiliations, an incredible wealth of knowledge of the forensic sciences and the interplay of different forensic science subspecialties.</p><p>Policymakers from every branch of the federal and state governments are grappling with how to address issues related to forensic science, particularly regulatory and quasi-regulatory standards, as well as the implementation of new forensic science technologies that are coming online now or in the near future. Given the stakes, it is not surprising that they are actively seeking organized forensic science's input on multiple aspects of these concerns.</p><p>Over the past 100 years, many authors have described a dystopian future based on technology's negative impact on society. Huxley, Orwell, Asimov, and others have predicted grim futures for our species. Hollywood, too, has offered similar visions for the next century of humankind, with innumerable films about technology's potentially negative impact on the world as we know it, <i>Bladerunner</i>, <i>Gattaca</i>, and <i>Ex Machina</i> to name a few. Thankfully, these futures have not yet (at least fully) come to pass.</p><p>In the past ten years, a new author has started to raise alarm bells regarding the near-term, very troubling potential impact of technology on various aspects of our lives. Yuval Harari PhD, an Oxford-education Professor of History at Hebrew University of Jerusalem, has written extensively about this topic, in books such as <i>Homo Deus</i> (2017) [<span>4</span>], <i>21 Lessons for the 21st Century</i> (2018) [<span>5</span>], and <i>Nexus</i> (2024) [<span>6</span>] and in magazine articles, including <i>Why Technology Favors Tyranny</i> (2018) [<span>7</span>]. Harari also has been a regular on the talk show circuit (e.g., <i>Real Time with Bill Maher</i>) and is, strangely, a Silicon Valley darling, despite the somewhat dark future he paints and the degree to which he, mostly tacitly, holds technology companies accountable for this potential future.</p><p>In his work and during his appearances, Harari makes the case that the exponential speed at which new technologies are being developed, refined, and deployed may render our society almost unrecognizable in the near future. He also argues that AI and biotechnologies may erode the practical advantages of western democracies (i.e., information decentralization) and ultimately advantage authoritarian regimes. Specifically, Harari examines the effects on our society of (among other things): artificial intelligence (AI) and automation; the increasing use and importance of algorithms; these algorithms being able to predict our desires and subsequent behaviors with increasing accuracy; the growing importance of artificial vs. human intelligence; and the “myth of free will” (based on neuroimaging studies, among other things) [<span>3</span>].</p><p>Regardless of whether or when we ultimately arrive at Huxley's, Orwell's, Asimov's, and/or Harari's dystopian future, in the near term, both current and anticipated technological advances will impact remarkably every aspect of our lives and almost all professions, including the forensic sciences. AAFS, among other organizations, will be crucial in initially vetting, testing, and, if appropriate, utilizing these new technologies as they become available. As mentioned previously, policymakers and the public will need organized forensic science's input on multiple aspects of these advances, for the betterment of society.</p><p>The 2025 AAFS Annual Scientific Conference in Baltimore, Maryland, will examine the responsible, ethical, and just use of existing and new technologies in the forensic sciences. The meeting will be titled “Technology: A Tool for Transformation or Tyranny?” Some readers (and attendees) may find this title hyperbolic and/or alarmist, but as mentioned previously, technological advances are occurring at a remarkable, even exponential, pace and will be present in almost every field of forensic science in the near future. These tools have extraordinary promise but also great potential peril. In addition to the aforementioned technologies, I'm sure readers can think of others that soon likely will impact each of their section's members in their professional practices.</p><p>In my opinion, the Academy's proactively (to the extent possible) considering addressing these issues will be incredibly important for both societal/altruistic reasons and professional relevance. The Academy is uniquely poised to address these challenges, given its diverse membership and varied sections, that can each provide a different perspective and can collaborate to this end.</p><p>I realize that the Academy will continue to grapple with and address these matters for many years past the end of my presidential term and that our position(s) will continue to evolve. My goal for my term is merely to “begin the conversation” around these topics on an Academy-wide basis, and hope for future leadership and membership to address these issues in as proactive a manner as we can. Based on my experiences with upcoming AAFS leaders and members generally, I am quite certain that we are in good hands.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15743,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of forensic sciences\",\"volume\":\"70 1\",\"pages\":\"5-8\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-12-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1556-4029.15676\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of forensic sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1556-4029.15676\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"MEDICINE, LEGAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of forensic sciences","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1556-4029.15676","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MEDICINE, LEGAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
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摘要

大多数科学组织竭力避免使用“倡导”一词来描述他们的活动,以避免被视为有偏见或党派。考虑到这个词的一般含义,这是可以理解的。然而,“倡导”具有潜在的广泛含义。在最极端的情况下,它可能涉及组织(或其个人成员)支持有争议的立场,特定的政党,甚至特定的候选人。然而,就与一般法医科学组织有关的这一努力而言,它通常侧重于对决策者(例如司法、立法、行政/行政/监管机构)和公众(例如感兴趣的公民个人、新闻媒体)的教育过程。这一进程的目标是使这些实体和个人了解现有的科学原则、新的研究和发展以及与法医科学实践有关的实际问题。有了这些信息,这些实体就可以对涉及法医科学各个方面的法规、立法和具体案件(以及其他事情)做出明智的决定。因此,AAFS对政策制定者和公众的教育过程可以准确地描述为“倡导”。然而,在这个过程中,我们并不是在倡导一个或多个具体的结果,而是从伦理和科学的角度出发,倡导合理的过程。在某些情况下,我们可能会主张继续或额外的资源来支持这种健全过程的继续、发展和/或实施。最后,也是最重要的一点,我们的社会正在见证科技的指数级、革命性的进步。其中一些正在并将影响几乎所有职业以及整个社会(例如,人工智能),而另一些可能具有更有针对性的影响(例如,法医谱系学,风险评估算法,在法医精神病学中使用功能磁共振成像)。在一定程度上,由于这些技术对法医学的影响,我坚信AAFS有义务向政策制定者提供有关在法律和其他法医学相关环境中适当实施和使用这些技术的建议。此外,由于这些技术进步可能会极大地影响法医科学几乎所有亚专业的日常实践,AAFS(及其成员)密切关注这些创新的发展和实施将是明智的。这将有助于学院及其成员保持专业能力,并与当前的实践标准保持“最新”。由于上述原因,AAFS应该拥有一个相对广泛的教育使命和愿景,不仅包括其成员,还包括政府实体和公众。显然,这种“倡导”应该只涉及AAFS及其成员具有集体和个人专业知识以及可能具有独特观点的特定问题。此外,我们的输入必须以现有的科学文献、科学院的聚合知识和经验,以及在某些情况下,实际的劳动力关注为指导。在这个过程中,我们必须坦率地承认我们的专业知识和科学文献的局限性。但也许最关键的是,学院必须确保在这一过程中——有时可能包括激烈、健康的辩论——我们的成员不会永远分裂。我相信,我们可以通过把重点放在推进对法医学各个分支专业和实践相关问题的理解上,而不是赞同具体的意识形态观点,来实现这一目标。AAFS是美国乃至全世界最杰出的法医学组织。虽然其他法医学专业组织也在科学/医学和法律的交叉领域运作,但AAFS的独特之处在于它代表了来自整个法医学社区的从业者,因此具有广泛的专业知识。此外,它和它的成员的观点被告知(有时是有益的)与其他部门的成员的互动,这有助于它(和我们)更全面地看到法医科学的景观。AAFS拥有6000多名会员,他们来自美国的每个州,以及许多其他国家,拥有广泛的专业领域。AAFS由12个部分组成,这些部分共同代表了来自法医科学界的从业者。显然,AAFS通过其成员及其附属机构,拥有令人难以置信的法医学知识财富以及不同法医学分支专业之间的相互作用。 联邦政府和州政府各部门的政策制定者都在努力解决与法医学相关的问题,特别是监管和准监管标准,以及现在或不久的将来即将上线的新法医学技术的实施。考虑到利害关系,他们在这些问题的多个方面积极寻求有组织的法医科学的投入就不足为奇了。在过去的100年里,许多作者基于技术对社会的负面影响描述了一个反乌托邦式的未来。赫胥黎、奥威尔、阿西莫夫等人都曾预言人类将面临严峻的未来。好莱坞也为人类的下一个世纪提供了类似的愿景,无数关于科技对我们所知的世界的潜在负面影响的电影,如《银翼杀手》、《千钧一》和《机械姬》等等。值得庆幸的是,这些未来还没有(至少还没有完全)实现。在过去的十年里,一位新作者开始就技术对我们生活的各个方面的短期、非常令人不安的潜在影响敲响警钟。尤瓦尔·哈拉里博士是耶路撒冷希伯来大学牛津教育历史学教授,他在《Homo Deus》(2017)b[4]、《21世纪的21堂课》(2018)[5]和《Nexus》(2024)[6]等书以及《为什么技术有利于暴政》(2018)[7]等杂志文章中撰写了大量关于这一主题的文章。赫拉利还经常出现在脱口秀节目中(比如《比尔·马赫的实时秀》)。奇怪的是,他是硅谷的宠儿,尽管他描绘的未来有些黑暗,而且他在很大程度上(基本上是默认的)要求科技公司对这种潜在的未来负责。在他的工作和他的露面中,赫拉利提出了一个案例,即新技术的开发、改进和部署的指数级速度可能会使我们的社会在不久的将来变得几乎面目全非。他还认为,人工智能和生物技术可能会侵蚀西方民主国家的实际优势(即信息去中心化),并最终有利于威权政权。具体来说,赫拉利研究了人工智能(AI)和自动化对我们社会的影响;算法的使用和重要性日益增加;这些算法能够越来越准确地预测我们的欲望和随后的行为;人工智能与人类智能之间日益增长的重要性;还有“自由意志的神话”(基于神经成像研究等)。无论我们最终是否或何时到达赫胥利、奥威尔、阿西莫夫和/或赫拉利的反乌托邦未来,在短期内,当前和预期的技术进步将显著影响我们生活的方方面面,几乎所有职业,包括法医科学。在其他组织中,AAFS将在最初的审查、测试和(如果适当的话)利用这些可用的新技术方面发挥关键作用。如前所述,决策者和公众将需要有组织的法医科学对这些进步的多个方面的投入,以改善社会。在马里兰州巴尔的摩市举行的2025年AAFS年度科学会议将审查在法医学中对现有技术和新技术的负责任、道德和公正的使用。会议的主题是“技术:变革的工具还是暴政?”一些读者(和与会者)可能会觉得这个标题有些夸张和/或危言耸听,但正如前面提到的,技术进步正在以惊人的、甚至是指数级的速度发生,在不久的将来,技术进步将出现在法医科学的几乎每个领域。这些工具有着非凡的前景,但也有巨大的潜在危险。除了前面提到的技术之外,我相信读者还能想到其他可能很快影响到他们的专业实践的技术。在我看来,学院积极地(尽可能地)考虑解决这些问题对于社会/利他主义和专业相关性来说都是非常重要的。鉴于学院成员的多样性和各部门的多样性,学院在应对这些挑战方面具有独特的优势,每个部门都可以提供不同的视角,并为此目的进行合作。我意识到,在我的主席任期结束后的许多年里,学院将继续努力解决这些问题,我们的立场将继续演变。我任期的目标仅仅是在学院范围内围绕这些话题“展开对话”,并希望未来的领导层和成员们尽可能积极主动地解决这些问题。根据我与即将上任的AAFS领导人和成员的经验,我很确定我们会得到很好的管理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Facing the future: Technology and “advocacy” at the American Academy of Forensic Sciences

Facing the future: Technology and “advocacy” at the American Academy of Forensic Sciences

Most scientific organizations assiduously avoid using the term “advocacy” to describe their activities in order to avoid being perceived as biased or partisan. This is understandable given the general connotation of the word. However, “advocacy” has a potentially broad range of meanings. In its most extreme form, it could involve organizations (or their individual members) endorsing controversial positions, particular political parties, or even specific candidates.

With regard to this endeavor as it relates to forensic science organizations in general, however, it generally has focused on an educative process for policymakers (e.g., the judiciary, legislatures, executive/administrative/regulatory agencies) and the public (e.g., interested individual citizens, the news media). The goal of this process has been to keep these entities and individuals apprised of existing scientific principles, new research and developments, and practical matters related to the practice of forensic science. Armed with this information, these entities can make well-informed decisions about regulations, legislation, and specific cases (among other things) involving various aspects of forensic science. Consequently, AAFS's process of education of policymakers and the public can accurately be described as “advocacy.” However, in this process, we are not advocating for a specific outcome or outcomes, but rather for sound processes, both from an ethical and scientific standpoint. In some cases, we may advocate for continued or additional resources to support the continuation, development, and/or implementation of such sound processes.

Lastly, and incredibly importantly, our society is seeing exponential, revolutionary advances in technology. Some of these are impacting and will impact almost every vocation, as well as society as a whole (e.g., artificial intelligence), while others may have more targeted effects (e.g., forensic genealogy, risk assessment algorithms, use of fMRI in forensic psychiatry). In part because of the magnitude of the ramifications of these technologies' impact on forensic science, I strongly believe AAFS has an obligation to advise policymakers about the appropriate implementation and use of these technologies, in both legal and other forensic science-related settings. Additionally, because these technological advances likely will tremendously affect the day-to-day practice of almost all subspecialties of forensic science, it would be wise for AAFS (and its members) to monitor closely the development and implementation of these innovations. This will help the Academy and its members remain professionally competent and “up-to-date” with current practice standards.

For the aforementioned reasons, AAFS should embrace a relatively broad educational mission and vision, one that includes not only its members but also governmental entities and the public. Obviously, this “advocacy” should only involve select matters about which AAFS and its members have collective and individual expertise and, perhaps, unique perspectives. In addition, our input must be guided by the existing scientific literature, the Academy's aggregated knowledge and experience, and, in some situations, pragmatic workforce concerns. In this process, we must be candid in acknowledging the limits both in our expertise and in the scientific literature. But perhaps most crucially, the Academy must ensure that during this process, which may at times include vigorous, healthy debate, our membership does not become permanently fractured. I believe we can accomplish this goal by focusing on the goal of advancing understanding of various subspecialties of forensic science and practice-related issues rather than endorsing specific ideological viewpoints.

The AAFS is the pre-eminent forensic science organization in the United States, and probably the world. Although other forensic science professional organizations also operate at the intersection of science/medicine and the law, AAFS is unique in that it represents practitioners from across the forensic science community, and therefore has a broad range of expertise. Additionally, its and its members' views are informed (and sometimes beneficially tempered by) interactions with members of other sections, which helps it (and us) see the forensic science landscape more fully.

AAFS has over 6000 members, who hail from every state in the United States, a host of other countries, and a wide variety of areas of expertise. AAFS consists of 12 sections that collectively represent practitioners from across the forensic science community. Plainly, AAFS has, through its members and their affiliations, an incredible wealth of knowledge of the forensic sciences and the interplay of different forensic science subspecialties.

Policymakers from every branch of the federal and state governments are grappling with how to address issues related to forensic science, particularly regulatory and quasi-regulatory standards, as well as the implementation of new forensic science technologies that are coming online now or in the near future. Given the stakes, it is not surprising that they are actively seeking organized forensic science's input on multiple aspects of these concerns.

Over the past 100 years, many authors have described a dystopian future based on technology's negative impact on society. Huxley, Orwell, Asimov, and others have predicted grim futures for our species. Hollywood, too, has offered similar visions for the next century of humankind, with innumerable films about technology's potentially negative impact on the world as we know it, Bladerunner, Gattaca, and Ex Machina to name a few. Thankfully, these futures have not yet (at least fully) come to pass.

In the past ten years, a new author has started to raise alarm bells regarding the near-term, very troubling potential impact of technology on various aspects of our lives. Yuval Harari PhD, an Oxford-education Professor of History at Hebrew University of Jerusalem, has written extensively about this topic, in books such as Homo Deus (2017) [4], 21 Lessons for the 21st Century (2018) [5], and Nexus (2024) [6] and in magazine articles, including Why Technology Favors Tyranny (2018) [7]. Harari also has been a regular on the talk show circuit (e.g., Real Time with Bill Maher) and is, strangely, a Silicon Valley darling, despite the somewhat dark future he paints and the degree to which he, mostly tacitly, holds technology companies accountable for this potential future.

In his work and during his appearances, Harari makes the case that the exponential speed at which new technologies are being developed, refined, and deployed may render our society almost unrecognizable in the near future. He also argues that AI and biotechnologies may erode the practical advantages of western democracies (i.e., information decentralization) and ultimately advantage authoritarian regimes. Specifically, Harari examines the effects on our society of (among other things): artificial intelligence (AI) and automation; the increasing use and importance of algorithms; these algorithms being able to predict our desires and subsequent behaviors with increasing accuracy; the growing importance of artificial vs. human intelligence; and the “myth of free will” (based on neuroimaging studies, among other things) [3].

Regardless of whether or when we ultimately arrive at Huxley's, Orwell's, Asimov's, and/or Harari's dystopian future, in the near term, both current and anticipated technological advances will impact remarkably every aspect of our lives and almost all professions, including the forensic sciences. AAFS, among other organizations, will be crucial in initially vetting, testing, and, if appropriate, utilizing these new technologies as they become available. As mentioned previously, policymakers and the public will need organized forensic science's input on multiple aspects of these advances, for the betterment of society.

The 2025 AAFS Annual Scientific Conference in Baltimore, Maryland, will examine the responsible, ethical, and just use of existing and new technologies in the forensic sciences. The meeting will be titled “Technology: A Tool for Transformation or Tyranny?” Some readers (and attendees) may find this title hyperbolic and/or alarmist, but as mentioned previously, technological advances are occurring at a remarkable, even exponential, pace and will be present in almost every field of forensic science in the near future. These tools have extraordinary promise but also great potential peril. In addition to the aforementioned technologies, I'm sure readers can think of others that soon likely will impact each of their section's members in their professional practices.

In my opinion, the Academy's proactively (to the extent possible) considering addressing these issues will be incredibly important for both societal/altruistic reasons and professional relevance. The Academy is uniquely poised to address these challenges, given its diverse membership and varied sections, that can each provide a different perspective and can collaborate to this end.

I realize that the Academy will continue to grapple with and address these matters for many years past the end of my presidential term and that our position(s) will continue to evolve. My goal for my term is merely to “begin the conversation” around these topics on an Academy-wide basis, and hope for future leadership and membership to address these issues in as proactive a manner as we can. Based on my experiences with upcoming AAFS leaders and members generally, I am quite certain that we are in good hands.

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来源期刊
Journal of forensic sciences
Journal of forensic sciences 医学-医学:法
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
215
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Forensic Sciences (JFS) is the official publication of the American Academy of Forensic Sciences (AAFS). It is devoted to the publication of original investigations, observations, scholarly inquiries and reviews in various branches of the forensic sciences. These include anthropology, criminalistics, digital and multimedia sciences, engineering and applied sciences, pathology/biology, psychiatry and behavioral science, jurisprudence, odontology, questioned documents, and toxicology. Similar submissions dealing with forensic aspects of other sciences and the social sciences are also accepted, as are submissions dealing with scientifically sound emerging science disciplines. The content and/or views expressed in the JFS are not necessarily those of the AAFS, the JFS Editorial Board, the organizations with which authors are affiliated, or the publisher of JFS. All manuscript submissions are double-blind peer-reviewed.
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