揭示人工智能和绿色技术融合对碳排放的影响:一个可解释的基于机器学习的方法。

IF 8.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Journal of Environmental Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-10 DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.123657
Tianlong Shan, Shuai Feng, Kaijian Li, Ruidong Chang, Ruopeng Huang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

绿色技术和人工智能(AI)在减少碳排放方面发挥着积极作用。技术融合作为一种典型的技术创新形式,可以通过人工智能与绿色技术融合的成果(如智能家居系统、智能交通系统)加速低碳目标的实现。为了探讨人工智能和绿色技术影响碳排放的机制,本研究基于1997 - 2019年中国地级市的面板数据,从收敛属性和收敛网络中提取收敛特征。结合极端梯度增强(XGBoost)算法和Shapley加性解释(SHAP)值方法,研究解释了各特征对碳排放的个体效应和交互效应。研究发现,技术趋同通用性和创新团队规模对碳排放有显著影响,后者呈现u型效应。发现收敛网络效率高的城市对抑制碳排放有正向影响。本研究及其结果为政策制定者开发人工智能和绿色融合技术以减少碳排放提供了见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unveiling the effects of artificial intelligence and green technology convergence on carbon emissions: An explainable machine learning-based approach.

Green technology and artificial intelligence (AI) are playing a positive role in reducing carbon emissions. Technology convergence, as a typical form of technological innovation, can expedite the realization of low-carbon goals through the outcomes of AI and green technology convergence (e.g., the smart home system and smart transportation system). To investigate the mechanisms within AI and green technologies that affect carbon emissions, this study extracts convergence features from convergence attributes and convergence networks, based on panel data from Chinese prefecture-level cities spanning the period from 1997 to 2019. By combining the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm and the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) value method, the study explains the individual effects and interaction effects of each feature on carbon emissions. The research findings reveal that technology convergence generality and innovation team scale have a significant impact on carbon emissions, with the latter exhibiting a U-shaped effect. Cities with high convergence network efficiency are found to influence suppressing carbon emissions positively. This study and its findings provide insights for policymakers to develop AI and green convergence technologies to reduce carbon emissions.

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来源期刊
Journal of Environmental Management
Journal of Environmental Management 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
13.70
自引率
5.70%
发文量
2477
审稿时长
84 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Management is a journal for the publication of peer reviewed, original research for all aspects of management and the managed use of the environment, both natural and man-made.Critical review articles are also welcome; submission of these is strongly encouraged.
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