Global, Regional and National Burden of Maternal Obstructed Labour and Uterine Rupture, 1990-2021: Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Background: Maternal obstructed labour and uterine rupture (MOLUR) are among the major maternal labour complications that threaten maternal and child health.

Objective: The objective of this study was to systematically analyse the global burden of MOLUR using the Global Burden of Disease 2021 (GBD 2021) database to inform further improvements in maternal-related public health policies.

Methods: Incidence and disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) data on MOLUR from 1990 to 2021 were collected in the GBD 2021. The joinpoint and Bayesian age-period-cohort models were used to analyse and predict time burden trends. The slope index and concentration index were used to evaluate health inequality. Frontier analysis was used to visualise the potential for burden reduction in individual countries or territories.

Results: In 2021, 13,471,093 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 8,938,373, 19,008,282) incident cases of MOLUR were reported worldwide, which caused 1,067,270 (95% UI 896,161, 1,275,042) DALYs. Over the past three decades, there has been an overall downward trend in the age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardised DALY rate (ASDR) of MOLUR globally, with the ASIR decreasing from 554.0 (95% UI 355.6, 786.3) per 100,000 in 1990 to 347.0 (95% UI 228.8, 489.4) in 2021. The ASDR decreased from 65.4 (95% UI 56.0, 75.7) per 100,000 in 1990 to 27.0 (95% UI 22.7, 32.2) in 2021. By 2040, the global ASIRs and ASDRs projections for MOLUR will likely continue to decline. Socioeconomic-related inequalities are narrowing, but the burden remains concentrated in low socioeconomically developed countries. Israel and Afghanistan showed the largest differences from the frontier boundaries of ASIR and ASDR.

Conclusions: Although the global burden of MOLUR has declined in the last three decades, it remains high and is still concentrated in economically underdeveloped countries. The reduction in DALYs attributable to MOLUR globally reflects significant progress in improving maternal health and reducing complications of childbirth.