[Prevalence and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis in populations with different cardiovascular disease risks in China].

Objective: To compare the prevalence and progression of subclinical atherosclerosis (SA) in populations with different cardiovascular disease (CVD) risks in China, and clarify the relationship between CVD risk stratification and SA. Methods: All participants were from Beijing Community-Based Cohort of Atherosclerosis. A total of 1 462 participants underwent carotid ultrasound and coronary computed tomography scan during 2008-2009 and 2013-2014. After excluding 191 participants with history of CVD and incomplete baseline data, 1 271 participants were included in final analysis. The 10-year CVD risk for participants were calculated based on the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) equation, and risk stratification was performed. The prevalence and progression of SA was determined by carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), carotid plaque score and coronary artery calcification (CAC) score. Results: In the participants included in this study, 536 (42.2%), 418 (32.9%) and 317 (24.9%) were classified to have low, intermediate and high 10-year risk, respectively. With the rising level of 10-year risk, the proportion of patients with SA and SA progression increased. In low, intermediate and high CVD risk groups, the proportions of participants with CAC were 16.4%, 36.4% and 52.0% (trend P<0.001); and 15.4%, 36.4% and 53.6% had progression of CAC during follow-up, respectively (trend P<0.001); compared with low-risk group, RRs for CAC progression of intermediate and high-risk groups were 2.316 (95%CI: 1.714-3.129) and 3.322 (95%CI: 2.472-4.463), respectively (trend P<0.001). The trend of relationship between CVD risk stratification and cIMT and carotid plaque progression were consistent with CAC. Conclusions: This current study shows CVD risk stratification is closely related to the prevalence and progression of atherosclerosis in Chinese population. However, many people with low CVD risk have atherosclerotic change in their carotid and coronary artery.