足协的补时错误与中断类型和净胜球有关。

Yuesen Li, Hendrik Weber, Daniel Link
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨在英足总裁判是否有偏见时,给予额外的时间。我们收集了由裁判授予的奖励额外时间(AAT)和计算额外时间(CAT)的数据,这些数据代表了根据规则手册要考虑的额外时间中断时间。对2022/2023赛季德甲后半段的额外时间误差(CAT)和额外时间误差(ATE)的分析显示,裁判判罚的额外时间误差(ATE = 2:10±2:24分钟)低于中断判罚的AAT (ATE = 2:10±2:24分钟)。AAT或ATE与中断时间类型之间的多元线性回归表明,裁判不考虑进球庆祝(AAT: β = 0.09, p = 0.09, ATE: β = 0.52, p p p = 0.68),受伤(AAT: β = 0.35, p p p p = 0.10)。Mann-Whitney u检验表明,在进球差距大于1的比赛(ATE = 3:16±2:26 min)与其他比赛(ATE = 1:18±2:00 min)相比,裁判倾向于分配不足的AAT (ATE = 3:16±2:26 min)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Additional time error in association football is associated with interruption type and goal difference.

This study explores whether referees are biased when awarding additional time in Association Football. We collected data on Awarded Additional Time (AAT) granted by the referees and Calculated Additional Time (CAT), representing the interruption time meant to be considered for additional time according to the rulebook. Analysis of Additional Time Error (ATE), given as the difference between CAT and AAT, in the second half of German football Bundesliga season 2022/2023, revealed that referees award less AAT than warranted by interruptions (ATE = 2:10 ± 2:24 min). Multiple Linear Regression between either AAT or ATE and the duration of interruption types suggests that referees do not consider Goal Celebrations (for AAT: β = 0.09, p = 0.09, for ATE: β = 0.52, p < 0.01) as important as Substitutions (for AAT: β = 0.25, p < 0.01, for ATE: β = 0.03, p = 0.68), Injuries (for AAT: β = 0.35, p < 0.01, for ATE: β = 0.28, p < 0.01) and VAR (for AAT: β = 0.38, p < 0.01, for ATE: β = 0.10, p = 0.10). Mann-Whitney U-tests indicate a referee's bias towards allocating insufficient AAT in matches with a goal difference greater than one compared (ATE = 3:16 ± 2:26 min) to the other matches (ATE = 1:18 ± 2:00 min) (p < 0.01, ES = 0.17). The Kruskal-Wallis H tests also show slight home bias from the referees, indicating that ATE is higher when the home team is leading more than one goal (ATE = 3:36 ± 2:36 min) (p < 0.01, ES = 0.15). In conclusion, although German Bundesliga referees adhere to the Laws of the Game, they show inconsistencies in handling different interruption types and matches with decisive outcomes. The findings suggest potential enhancement in referee training and decision-making processes and should be considered when advancing the game.

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