为相互依赖的网络建模和管理弹性和风险

IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Felipe Aros-Vera , Shital Thekdi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

灾难性事件有可能对相互依赖的网络造成重大破坏,如供应链、关键基础设施和其他对我们社会运作至关重要的网络。由于各种因素,解决受损网络的弹性和风险是具有挑战性的。首先,这些网络变得越来越相互依赖,因此网络的恢复取决于连接网络的恢复。此外,相互依赖的网络可能具有多个功能、系统用户、所有者和涉众。有必要建立基于数据的决策模型,以解决这些相互依赖的基础设施网络的弹性和风险问题。我们通过以下方式解决这些问题:1)使用多层相互依赖的网络框架对基础设施网络之间的相互依赖进行建模;2)量化网络弹性与网络间连接结构之间的关系;3)支持网络间连接结构投资的管理和战略决策,支持风险缓解需求和策略。本文结合网络优化和网络科学方法,建立了一个统一的弹性分析框架。我们将本文的方法应用于2017年飓风玛丽亚之后波多黎各相互依存的基础设施网络。本文为相互依赖的基础设施网络的数据知情弹性管理决策提供支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling and managing resilience and risk for interdependent networks
Catastrophic events have the potential to cause major disruptions to interdependent networks such as supply chains, critical infrastructures and other networks that are vital for the functioning of our society. Addressing the resilience and risk of compromised networks is challenging due to a variety of factors. First, these networks are becoming increasingly interdependent, such that network recovery is contingent upon recovery in connected networks. Additionally, interdependent networks may have multiple functions, system users, owners, and stakeholders. There is a need for data-informed decision-making models that address resilience and risk for these interdependent infrastructure networks. We address these issues by: 1) Modeling interdependencies among infrastructure networks using a multi-layer interdependent network framework, 2) Quantifying the relationship between network resilience and the inter-network connection structure, and 3) Supporting management and strategic decision-making for investment in inter-network connection structures, supporting risk mitigation needs and strategies. Our paper combines network optimization and network science methods to produce a unified framework to analyze resilience. We apply the methods of this paper to the interdependent infrastructure network of Puerto Rico following the 2017 Hurricane Maria. This paper supports decision-making for data-informed resilience management for interdependent infrastructure networks.
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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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