Utility of the ASPECT Score for Predicting Intracranial Hemorrhage Following Intravenous Thrombolysis in Patients with Suspected MCA Infarction: Insights from the Northern Thai Stroke Registry.

Purpose:  The association between the Alberta Stroke Programme Early CT Score (ASPECTS) and intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients undergoing thrombolysis remains unclear. This study aimed to determine the relationship between ASPECTS and thrombolysis-associated outcomes, focusing on symptomatic (sICH) and asymptomatic (aICH) ICH.

Patients and methods:  AIS patients with middle cerebral artery (MCA) territory treated with thrombolysis were enrolled. Patients were categorized into favorable (8-10) and unfavorable (7 or less) ASPECTS. The primary outcomes were sICH and aICH. Secondary outcomes included ICH management, modified Rankin Scale (mRS), and mortality. Multivariable logistic regression analysis evaluated the risk of unfavorable ASPECTS and its association with study outcomes.

Results:  We included 622 patients (mean age 66.1 ± 13.5 years; 50.5% male); 95 (15.3%) had unfavorable ASPECTS. Patients with unfavorable ASPECTS had higher sICH but not aICH (21.1% vs 4.9%, P < 0.001 and 16.9% vs 17.3%, P = 1.00). Unfavorable ASPECTS was associated with sICH (adjusted odds ratio 5.1; 95% confidence interval 2.7-9.7, P < 0.001). Factors associated with lower ASPECTS included age ≥ 65 years, body weight < 60 kg, atrial fibrillation, onset-to-needle time ≥ 120 minutes, and anemia. Patients with lower ASPECTS had higher mortality and unfavorable mRS (>2) at discharge, 14 days, and 90 days (74.7% vs 50.1%, P < 0.001 for 90-day mRS >2).

Conclusion:  ASPECTS is a simple tool to predict thrombolysis-associated sICH but not aICH. Patients with unfavorable ASPECTS are at higher risk of complications and poor functional outcomes. Alternative treatments, such as mechanical thrombectomy, might be advisable for these patients.