Occurance and pollution risk assessment of emerging contaminants in groundwater in the vicinity of a typical municipal landfill in northeastern China

Emerging contaminants (ECs) present a significant risk to both the ecological environment and human health. However, there is currently limited knowledge regarding the presence of ECs in leachate and the surrounding groundwater environment of landfills. The heterogeneity of aquifers introduces additional uncertainty into the transport of ECs, thereby impacting the accuracy of pollution risk prediction. In this study, the types and concentrations of ECs in the leachate and surrounding groundwater were firstly investigated in a typical landfill in northeastern China. Results show that 6 different ECs were detected in groundwater monitoring wells around the landfill, with concentrations ranging from 1.25-1471 ng/L, higher than most investigated landfills in China. Leachate contained 18 different ECs with concentrations ranging from 0.25-30414 ng/L. Based on the statistical characteristics of lithology reflected by borehole data, random lithology fields were generated and transformed into heterogeneity parameter fields using Markov chain analysis to facilitate the risk assessment of ECs. Following a simulation period of 100 years, it was observed that due to the low permeability of the aquifer, pollutants only spread up to 700 m northward. While pollution plumes may disperse towards residential areas, the probability of exposure to EC in these regions is minimal. Conversely, areas with high pollution risk are predominantly located on the eastern and northern sides of the landfill. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the impact of landfills on surrounding groundwater environments, and our proposed pollution risk assessment model can serve as a valuable reference for controlling and treating ECs.