评估早高峰期间学校周边道路的碰撞风险。

IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS
Xiaojian Hu , Haoran Deng , Huasheng Liu , Jiayi Zhou , Hongyu Liang , Long Chen , Li Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

道路交通伤害是全球小学生死亡的主要原因之一,尤其是在上下学高峰时段的小学周围,交通繁忙、停车频繁以及不可预测的交通模式都会增加事故风险。为了降低这些风险,本研究采用了峰值超过阈值法和广义帕累托分布来评估高峰时段小学附近的空间-时间碰撞风险。具体来说,研究从空间上量化了不同路段(上游、中游和下游)和车道(外侧、中间和内侧)的碰撞风险。在时间上,它评估了车辆聚集、车辆集中高峰和车辆消散阶段的风险。结果表明,碰撞风险从上游向下游递减,但从外侧车道向内侧车道递增。此外,在上游和中游路段的聚集期和高峰期,中间车道和外侧车道的碰撞风险最高,而在消散期,中间车道的碰撞风险最高。这些发现建议增加停车位,尽量减少变道,降低上游和中游的限速,提高下游和内侧车道的限速。这些措施旨在改善学校周边的道路交通管理政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of the collision risk on the road around schools during morning peak period
Road traffic injury is a leading cause of death among pupils worldwide, particularly around primary schools during rush hours, where heavy traffic, frequent parking, and unpredictable patterns increase accident risk. To mitigate these risks, this study employs the peak-over-threshold method with the generalized pareto distribution to evaluate the spatial–temporal collision risk near primary schools during rush hours. Specifically, the research quantifies collision risks spatially across different road segments (upstream, midstream, and downstream) and lanes (outside, middle, and inside). Temporally, it assesses risks during vehicle gathering, peak vehicle concentration, and vehicle dissipation phases. Results show that collision risk decreases from upstream to downstream but increases from the outside lane to the inside lane. Moreover, collision risks are highest in the middle and outside lanes during the gathering and peak periods in upstream and midstream sections, and in the middle lanes during the dissipation phase. These findings recommend adding parking spaces, minimizing lane changes, reducing speed limits in upstream and midstream, and increasing speed limits in downstream and inside lanes. These measures aim to improve road traffic management policies around schools.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
16.90%
发文量
264
审稿时长
48 days
期刊介绍: Accident Analysis & Prevention provides wide coverage of the general areas relating to accidental injury and damage, including the pre-injury and immediate post-injury phases. Published papers deal with medical, legal, economic, educational, behavioral, theoretical or empirical aspects of transportation accidents, as well as with accidents at other sites. Selected topics within the scope of the Journal may include: studies of human, environmental and vehicular factors influencing the occurrence, type and severity of accidents and injury; the design, implementation and evaluation of countermeasures; biomechanics of impact and human tolerance limits to injury; modelling and statistical analysis of accident data; policy, planning and decision-making in safety.
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