Alison Hughes , Tara Caetano , Guy Cunliffe , Faaiqa Hartley , Andrew Marquard , Bryce McCall , Bruno Merven
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引用次数: 0
摘要
南非面临着无数与能源有关的挑战,包括电力供应严重紧张、消费者用电成本上升、能源贫困程度高以及能源供应和需求部门对煤炭的依赖。这些挑战都是在必须实现重大发展和承诺去碳化的背景下存在的。本文介绍了南非 TIMES 模型 (SATIM),这是一个经过二十多年开发和维护的综合能源系统模型,已被证明有助于为南非的能源和气候政策提供信息。我们探讨了如何对 SATIM 进行调整,以克服数据限制,应对发展中国家面临的独特而复杂的政策、发展和更广泛的社会经济挑战。我们讨论了该模型的演变、结构和应用,强调了它在为关键决策提供循证见解方面的作用。我们认为,SATIM 的长期发展、灵活性以及与其他模型的整合为发展中国家的能源系统建模提供了宝贵的经验。
Developing and maintaining a policy-focussed, comprehensive, energy systems model in a developing country context: The case of SATIM in South Africa
South Africa faces a myriad of energy-related challenges, including severe constraints in electricity supply, a rising cost of electricity to consumers, high levels of energy poverty, and a reliance on coal in both energy supply and demand sectors. These challenges exist in a context of significant development imperatives and commitments to decarbonise. This paper presents the South African TIMES model (SATIM), a comprehensive energy systems model developed and maintained over two decades, which has proved useful in informing energy and climate policy in South Africa. We explore how SATIM has been adapted to overcome data limitations and address unique and complex policy, development and broader socio-economic challenges faced by developing countries. The model's evolution, structure, and applications are discussed, highlighting its role in providing evidence-based insights for critical policy decisions. We argue that SATIM's long-term development, flexibility, and integration with other models offer valuable lessons for energy systems modelling in developing country contexts.
期刊介绍:
Energy Strategy Reviews is a gold open access journal that provides authoritative content on strategic decision-making and vision-sharing related to society''s energy needs.
Energy Strategy Reviews publishes:
• Analyses
• Methodologies
• Case Studies
• Reviews
And by invitation:
• Report Reviews
• Viewpoints