Li Wei , Yu Wang , Tingrun Lin , Xuelin Huang , Rong Yan
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In this paper, we firstly extract the degradation trend term of supercapacitor by a composite sine and polynomial time series decomposition model from the characteristic parameters. Secondly, in order to make up for the lack of data, a GRU network is designed to generate more sample data which is in consistent with historical data evolution trends. The combination of input characteristic variables including the extracted historical characteristic capacitance <span><math><mi>C</mi></math></span>, temperature T and the time fitting sequences <span><math><mi>C</mi><mfenced><msub><mi>t</mi><mi>D</mi></msub></mfenced></math></span> are selected to improve the accuracy of GRU predictions. The predictive error of the characteristic capacitance <span><math><mi>C</mi></math></span> is 2.36 %. Finally, the life prediction of on-board supercapacitors based on actual working conditions is realized.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":246,"journal":{"name":"Applied Energy","volume":"379 ","pages":"Article 124917"},"PeriodicalIF":10.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Life prediction of on-board supercapacitor energy storage system based on gate recurrent unit neural network using sparse monitoring data\",\"authors\":\"Li Wei , Yu Wang , Tingrun Lin , Xuelin Huang , Rong Yan\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124917\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>With the increasing use of supercapacitor in transportation and energy sectors, service life prediction becomes an important aspect to consider. As the aging process of onboard supercapacitors is closely related to practical working conditions, the actual service life may be inconsistent with the cycle life measured in the laboratory. However, the low-quality onboard monitoring data recording the historical working conditions is usually sparse and fragmented, making it difficult to extract valuable information. In our previous study, we successfully obtained the characteristic parameters from sparse and fragmented data, whereas those characteristic parameters change periodically and couldn't be used directly for life prediction. In this paper, we firstly extract the degradation trend term of supercapacitor by a composite sine and polynomial time series decomposition model from the characteristic parameters. Secondly, in order to make up for the lack of data, a GRU network is designed to generate more sample data which is in consistent with historical data evolution trends. The combination of input characteristic variables including the extracted historical characteristic capacitance <span><math><mi>C</mi></math></span>, temperature T and the time fitting sequences <span><math><mi>C</mi><mfenced><msub><mi>t</mi><mi>D</mi></msub></mfenced></math></span> are selected to improve the accuracy of GRU predictions. The predictive error of the characteristic capacitance <span><math><mi>C</mi></math></span> is 2.36 %. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
随着超级电容器在交通和能源领域的应用日益广泛,使用寿命预测成为需要考虑的一个重要方面。由于车载超级电容器的老化过程与实际工作条件密切相关,因此实际使用寿命可能与实验室测量的循环寿命不一致。然而,记录历史工作条件的低质量车载监测数据通常稀少而零散,难以提取有价值的信息。在我们之前的研究中,我们成功地从稀疏和零散的数据中获得了特征参数,但这些特征参数是周期性变化的,不能直接用于寿命预测。本文首先通过正弦和多项式复合时间序列分解模型从特征参数中提取超级电容器的衰减趋势项。其次,为了弥补数据的不足,我们设计了一个 GRU 网络来生成更多符合历史数据演变趋势的样本数据。输入特征变量的组合包括提取的历史特征电容 C、温度 T 和时间拟合序列 CtD,以提高 GRU 预测的准确性。特征电容 C 的预测误差为 2.36%。最后,实现了基于实际工作条件的车载超级电容器寿命预测。
Life prediction of on-board supercapacitor energy storage system based on gate recurrent unit neural network using sparse monitoring data
With the increasing use of supercapacitor in transportation and energy sectors, service life prediction becomes an important aspect to consider. As the aging process of onboard supercapacitors is closely related to practical working conditions, the actual service life may be inconsistent with the cycle life measured in the laboratory. However, the low-quality onboard monitoring data recording the historical working conditions is usually sparse and fragmented, making it difficult to extract valuable information. In our previous study, we successfully obtained the characteristic parameters from sparse and fragmented data, whereas those characteristic parameters change periodically and couldn't be used directly for life prediction. In this paper, we firstly extract the degradation trend term of supercapacitor by a composite sine and polynomial time series decomposition model from the characteristic parameters. Secondly, in order to make up for the lack of data, a GRU network is designed to generate more sample data which is in consistent with historical data evolution trends. The combination of input characteristic variables including the extracted historical characteristic capacitance , temperature T and the time fitting sequences are selected to improve the accuracy of GRU predictions. The predictive error of the characteristic capacitance is 2.36 %. Finally, the life prediction of on-board supercapacitors based on actual working conditions is realized.
期刊介绍:
Applied Energy serves as a platform for sharing innovations, research, development, and demonstrations in energy conversion, conservation, and sustainable energy systems. The journal covers topics such as optimal energy resource use, environmental pollutant mitigation, and energy process analysis. It welcomes original papers, review articles, technical notes, and letters to the editor. Authors are encouraged to submit manuscripts that bridge the gap between research, development, and implementation. The journal addresses a wide spectrum of topics, including fossil and renewable energy technologies, energy economics, and environmental impacts. Applied Energy also explores modeling and forecasting, conservation strategies, and the social and economic implications of energy policies, including climate change mitigation. It is complemented by the open-access journal Advances in Applied Energy.