深度制度冲击的长期影响:墨西哥的历史证据

Shai Dothan , Mitja Kovac , Rok Spruk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了制度冲击对产权的长期发展以及对规范订约的制度的潜在影响。本文试图证明,外部制度冲击可能会对墨西哥的制度发展产生意料之外的副作用。分析利用了美墨冲突期间美国行政机构在墨西哥各州和各市存在的国内差异。利用倾向得分和近邻匹配技术,我们提出了一些证据,说明美国行政当局的存在可能对制度产生的长期影响。我们发现,美国行政当局的存在产生了意想不到的积极影响,可能会对墨西哥各州的长期产权和契约制度产生影响。美国行政机构的存在所产生的积极影响对各种规范检查都是稳健的,尤其是对较小的城市。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Long-term effects of deep institutional shocks: Historical evidence from Mexico
This paper examines the potential impact of institutional shocks on long-term development of property rights and on institutions regulating contracting. The paper seeks to demonstrate that the external institutional shocks might have an uncontemplated side-effect on the institutional development of Mexico. The analysis exploits the within-country variation in the presence of US administrative authorities during the Mexican-American conflict across Mexican states and cities. Using propensity score and nearest neighbour matching technique, we present some evidence of the potential long-term institutional implications of the presence of US administrative authorities. We show that the presence of US administrative authority generated an unexpected positive effect which could influence long-term property rights and contracting institutions of Mexican states. The positive impact of US administrative authorities’ presence are robust to a variety of specification checks and are particularly large for smaller cities.
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