快速刷新预报系统中 3DEnVar 数据同化的尺度和变量定位

IF 4.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Sho Yokota, Jacob R. Carley, Ting Lei, Shun Liu, Daryl T. Kleist, Yongming Wang, Xuguang Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究展示了尺度和变量依赖定位(SDL 和 VDL)在每小时更新的高分辨率区域预报系统--快速更新预报系统(RRFS)--的三维集合变分数据同化中的优势。通过扩展控制向量,SDL 和 VDL 分别对每个空间尺度和变量应用不同的定位半径。RRFS的单观测同化试验和循环试验表明,SDL可以在不增加因集合规模小而导致的采样误差的情况下,扩大本地化半径,减少分析场的相关不平衡,从而有效降低温湿度预报的偏差。此外,利用 VDL 同时同化常规数据和雷达反射率数据,仅对水文气 象和垂直风采用较小的定位半径,在不引入噪声分析增量的情况下改进了降水预报。统计验证表明,这些影响有助于减少预报误差,尤其是低空温度和强降水的预报误差。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Scale- and Variable-Dependent Localization for 3DEnVar Data Assimilation in the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

Scale- and Variable-Dependent Localization for 3DEnVar Data Assimilation in the Rapid Refresh Forecast System

This study demonstrates the advantages of scale- and variable-dependent localization (SDL and VDL) on three-dimensional ensemble variational data assimilation of the hourly-updated high-resolution regional forecast system, the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS). SDL and VDL apply different localization radii for each spatial scale and variable, respectively, by extended control vectors. Single-observation assimilation tests and cycling experiments with RRFS indicated that SDL can enlarge the localization radius without increasing the sampling error caused by the small ensemble size and decreased associated imbalance of the analysis field, which was effective at decreasing the bias of temperature and humidity forecasts. Moreover, simultaneous assimilation of conventional and radar reflectivity data with VDL, where a smaller localization radius was applied only for hydrometeors and vertical wind, improved precipitation forecasts without introducing noisy analysis increments. Statistical verification showed that these impacts contributed to forecast error reduction, especially for low-level temperature and heavy precipitation.

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来源期刊
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
11.40
自引率
11.80%
发文量
241
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES) is committed to advancing the science of Earth systems modeling by offering high-quality scientific research through online availability and open access licensing. JAMES invites authors and readers from the international Earth systems modeling community. Open access. Articles are available free of charge for everyone with Internet access to view and download. Formal peer review. Supplemental material, such as code samples, images, and visualizations, is published at no additional charge. No additional charge for color figures. Modest page charges to cover production costs. Articles published in high-quality full text PDF, HTML, and XML. Internal and external reference linking, DOI registration, and forward linking via CrossRef.
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