向科学家学习,也向科学家学习:共识信息塑造了人们对气候变化和气候科学家的看法。

IF 2.2 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
PNAS nexus Pub Date : 2024-10-31 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae485
Reed Orchinik, Rachit Dubey, Samuel J Gershman, Derek M Powell, Rahul Bhui
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管科学界对人类造成的气候变化的存在已达成压倒性共识,但美国人的舆论仍然存在分歧。直接向人们宣传科学共识是气候传播最主要的策略之一,但人们对其有效性和局限性的原因并不完全了解。在此,我们提出,共识信息不仅提供了有关气候变化存在的信息,还提供了气候科学家自身的特质。在一项大型(2,545 人)全国代表性调查实验中,我们研究了共识信息如何通过影响人们对气候科学家可信度的看法来影响人们对人为气候变化的信念。在对照组(n = 847)中,我们首先表明,当人们看到共识信息时,既会从气候科学家那里学习,也会了解气候科学家,而且科学家的可信度(尤其是技能)在共识信息对气候信念的总体影响中起到了约 40% 的中介作用。我们证明了人们对气候科学家的看法是可塑的,通过两种新颖的干预措施,人们对气候变化的信念得到了超越共识信息的提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Learning from and about scientists: Consensus messaging shapes perceptions of climate change and climate scientists.

Despite overwhelming scientific consensus on the existence of human-caused climate change, public opinion among Americans remains split. Directly informing people of scientific consensus is among the most prominent strategies for climate communication, yet the reasons for its effectiveness and its limitations are not fully understood. Here, we propose that consensus messaging provides information not only about the existence of climate change but also traits of climate scientists themselves. In a large ( n = 2 , 545 ) nationally representative survey experiment, we examine how consensus information affects belief in human-caused climate change by shaping perceptions of climate scientist credibility. In the control group ( n = 847 ), we first show that people learn both from and about climate scientists when presented with consensus and that perceived scientist credibility (especially skill) mediates up to about 40% of the total effect of consensus information on climate belief. We demonstrate that perceptions of climate scientists are malleable with two novel interventions that increase belief in climate change above and beyond consensus information.

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