人生最重要决定的心理学。

IF 12.3 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Shahar Hechtlinger, Christin Schulze, Christina Leuker, Ralph Hertwig
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引用次数: 0

摘要

有关判断和决策的研究通常研究的是 "小世界"--高度简化和风格化的任务,如同质化人群中的金钱赌博,而不是全球各地人们在现实生活中做出的重大决策。这些改变生活的决策(例如,是否移民或逃离一个国家、公开自己的性取向、离婚或报告性侵犯)可以影响人的一生。本文认为,研究人员需要分析这些决定在现实世界中的特性,而不是将其简化为符合小世界模型的决定。文章借鉴有界理性和生态理性的原则,提出了一个框架,确定了改变生活的决策的五个方面:相互冲突的线索、自我的改变、不确定的体验价值、不可逆转性和风险。该框架还针对这些方面提出了简单、多变的选择策略,例如,将决策分解为多个步骤,避免在现在的自我和未来的自我之间进行权衡,或借鉴他人的经验。最后,它提出了评估变革性人生决策合理性的基准。在方法论上,该框架将长期以来主要基于实验室的判断和决策研究传统调整为基于文本的方法,从而为利用自然语言处理技术分析现实世界决策的实证工作奠定了基础。只有了解了有可能改变人生轨迹的决策--以及在这一过程中的人--才有可能发展出包罗万象、兼容并蓄的人类决策理论。(PsycInfo 数据库记录 (c) 2024 APA,保留所有权利)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The psychology of life's most important decisions.

Research on judgment and decision making typically studies "small worlds"-highly simplified and stylized tasks such as monetary gambles-among homogenous populations rather than big real-life decisions made by people around the globe. These transformative life decisions (e.g., whether or not to emigrate or flee a country, disclose one's sexual orientation, get divorced, or report a sexual assault) can shape lives. This article argues that rather than reducing such consequential decisions to fit small-world models, researchers need to analyze their real-world properties. Drawing on principles of bounded and ecological rationality, it proposes a framework that identifies five dimensions of transformative life decisions: conflicting cues, change of self, uncertain experiential value, irreversibility, and risk. The framework also specifies simple, versatile choice strategies that address these dimensions by, for instance, breaking down a decision into steps, avoiding trade-offs between present and future selves, or sampling others' experiences. Finally, it suggests benchmarks for assessing the rationality of transformative life decisions. Methodologically, this framework adapts a long tradition of mainly lab-based judgment and decision-making research to a text-based approach, thereby setting the stage for empirical work that analyzes real-world decisions using natural-language processing. Only by understanding decisions with the potential to transform life trajectories-and people in the process-will it be possible to develop encompassing and inclusive theories of human decision making. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

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来源期刊
American Psychologist
American Psychologist PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
18.50
自引率
1.20%
发文量
145
期刊介绍: Established in 1946, American Psychologist® is the flagship peer-reviewed scholarly journal of the American Psychological Association. It publishes high-impact papers of broad interest, including empirical reports, meta-analyses, and scholarly reviews, covering psychological science, practice, education, and policy. Articles often address issues of national and international significance within the field of psychology and its relationship to society. Published in an accessible style, contributions in American Psychologist are designed to be understood by both psychologists and the general public.
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