[流行病学指标预测中的患者中位年龄]

Q4 Medicine
U R Saginbaev, T A Akhmedov, N A Rukavishnikov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在人口层面,加速衰老可以表现为与年龄相关的病症的早期表现。早些时候,作为各种疾病表现顺序的指标,我们证实了年龄特异性发病率指数(ASII),即劳动年龄以上人群的初次发病率与整个成年人口的同一指标之比。同时,似乎有必要解释一下中位年龄与年龄特异性发病指数之间的数学关系。研究目的:从数学角度证明年龄特异性发病率指数作为患者中位年龄间接指标的适用性。研究材料来自新确诊患者的医疗报告表。使用区间序列计算公式估算了中位年龄。使用区间数列计算公式计算出的患者年龄中位数为 50.6 岁。在对方程组进行汇编和转换后,得到了使用 ASII 计算中位年龄的公式。用修改后的公式计算得出的中位年龄相似。从临床角度看,与年龄有关的疾病的早期发展与早衰相同。未来,经过数学验证的 ASII 指标将使制定早衰筛查策略成为可能,也将成为老年学--生物horology 这一前景广阔的方向的工具之一。因此,ASII 与中位年龄之间的数学关系得到了证明。从统计学角度证明了使用 ASII 作为患者中位年龄指标的有效性,以及由此得出的人群疾病表现年龄。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
[Median age of patients in the projection of the epidemiological indicator.]

At the population level, accelerated aging can manifest itself as an early manifestation of age-associated pathology. Earlier, as an indicator of the order of manifestation of various diseases, we substantiated the age-specific incidence index (ASII), which is the ratio of the primary incidence rate among people over working age to the same indicator for the entire adult population. At the same time, it seems necessary to explain the mathematical relationship between median age and ASII. The purpose of the study: mathematically prove the applicability of the age-specific incidence index as an indirect indicator of the median age of patients. The materials were data from medical reporting forms on the appeal to the clinic with a newly diagnosed. The median age was estimated using the interval series calculation formula. The median age of patients calculated using the interval series calculation formula was 50.6 years. Having compiled and transformed the system of equations, the formula for calculating the median age using ASII was obtained. Calculation with the modified formula showed a similar median age. From a clinical perspective, the early development of age-related diseases is identical to premature aging. In the future, the mathematically proven ASII indicator will make it possible to develop a strategy for screening premature aging, and will also become one of the tools for the promising direction of gerontology - biohorology. Thus, the mathematical relationship between ASII and median age is demonstrated. The validity of the use of ASII as an indicator of the median age of the patient and, as a result, the age of manifestation of the disease at the population level was statistically proven.

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CiteScore
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