元分析:是构建理论或评估干预措施的工具,还是仅仅证明日常假设?

IF 2.6 3区 心理学 Q2 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Frontiers in Psychology Pub Date : 2024-10-24 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1377336
Erich H Witte, Ivo Ponocny
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在对荟萃分析的发展进行了简短的思考之后,我们得出结论,目前的 2.0 版荟萃分析并不适合作为理论构建的基础,因为它是对一个研究领域在 0、1、2 个发展阶段的结果进行的联合讨论。为此,有必要将这一工具进一步发展为荟萃分析 3.0,它要求主要研究中自变量的有效性、因变量误差方差的减小、主要研究中效果的稳定性以及主要研究中观察到的效果与预测效果之间的定量比较。在目前的荟萃分析 2.0 中,具体的单例分析方法给人的印象是,主要调查的是日常生活中的想法,人们希望将这些想法推广到其他条件下的人群中。此外,现有荟萃分析的结果要么是同质的、非常小的,要么是异质的。荟萃分析 2.0 采用归纳法寻找特定主题下测量结果的不稳定性。荟萃分析 3.0 的程序以假设的方式并通过一个经验实例进行了一般性描述。它通过归纳法寻找不同主题数据定量重建的稳定性。结论可概括为:元分析 3.0 是理论化不可或缺的工具,而理论化则以元分析 3.0 为前提。这种相互依存关系的纽带是归纳法,而不是作为研究策略的归纳法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Meta-analysis: a tool for constructing theories or evaluating interventions or simply proving everyday assumptions?

After a brief consideration of the development of meta-analyses as a joint discussion of results from a research area across development stages 0, 1, 2, it is concluded that the present form 2.0 is unsuitable to serve as a basis for theory building. Further development of this tool into a meta-analysis 3.0 is necessary for this purpose which requires the validity of the independent variables in the primary studies, the reduction of the error variance of the dependent variables, a stability of the effects over the primary studies and a quantitative comparison between observed and predicted effects in the primary studies. In the current meta-analyses 2.0, a concrete single-case approach creates the impression that mainly everyday ideas are investigated, which one would like to generalize to a population of other conditions. Furthermore, the results of the existing meta-analyses are either homogeneous and very small or heterogeneous. Meta-analysis 2.0 searches for the instability of the measurements under a specific topic with methods of induction. The procedure of a meta-analysis 3.0 is described in general and carried out hypothetically and with an empirical example. It searches for the stability of quantitative reconstructions of data over different topics with the method of abduction. The conclusion can be summarized as that meta-analysis 3.0 is indispensable as a tool for theorizing, and theorizing presupposes meta-analysis 3.0. The link between this interdependence is abduction in contrast to induction as a research strategy.

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来源期刊
Frontiers in Psychology
Frontiers in Psychology PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
13.20%
发文量
7396
审稿时长
14 weeks
期刊介绍: Frontiers in Psychology is the largest journal in its field, publishing rigorously peer-reviewed research across the psychological sciences, from clinical research to cognitive science, from perception to consciousness, from imaging studies to human factors, and from animal cognition to social psychology. Field Chief Editor Axel Cleeremans at the Free University of Brussels is supported by an outstanding Editorial Board of international researchers. This multidisciplinary open-access journal is at the forefront of disseminating and communicating scientific knowledge and impactful discoveries to researchers, academics, clinicians and the public worldwide. The journal publishes the best research across the entire field of psychology. Today, psychological science is becoming increasingly important at all levels of society, from the treatment of clinical disorders to our basic understanding of how the mind works. It is highly interdisciplinary, borrowing questions from philosophy, methods from neuroscience and insights from clinical practice - all in the goal of furthering our grasp of human nature and society, as well as our ability to develop new intervention methods.
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