商业周期对能源贫困的影响:探索新兴工业化经济体可持续发展目标的意义

IF 10.1 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Rizwana Yasmeen , Wasi Ul Hassan Shah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

能源贫困是实现可持续发展目标 7 的主要障碍,该目标的具体目标是到 2030 年全面普及负担得起的可持续能源。因此,本研究采用了互补百分比法来跟踪新工业化国家(2000-2021 年)农村和城市地区的电力和清洁燃料能源贫困率。随后,研究扩展到了商业周期对新工业化国家经济体能源贫困的影响。研究使用 Christiano-Fitzgerald 滤波器和 Hodrick-Prescott 滤波器来衡量商业周期阶段。研究结果表明,虽然大多数新工业化国家已经实现了全面通电,但仍然存在巨大差距,特别是在农村地区,数百万人仍然无法获得电力和清洁烹饪燃料。通过使用系统-伽马计量法(System-GMM)和IV-伽马计量法(IV-GMM),研究发现商业周期,尤其是经济衰退会加剧新工业化国家的能源贫困。经济扩张周期对能源获取和减少能源贫困有积极影响。能源行业的创新和投资对缓解能源贫困有积极影响。此外,商业周期也减少了可再生能源的消耗。研究结果表明,拥有强有力的治理、有效的监管、法治和腐败控制措施的国家在减少能源贫困方面更为成功。额外的传导估计值再次证实了研究结果;收入不平等、能源强度、失业率和人均国内生产总值支持商业周期基准模型的结果。这些发现突出表明,为实现可持续发展目标7,有必要投资能源基础设施和制定有针对性的政策,以缩小城乡能源差距,特别是清洁烹饪燃料方面的差距。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of business cycles on energy poverty: Exploring the significance with sustainable development goals in newly industrialized economies
Energy poverty is a key barrier to achieving SDG 7, which targets full access to affordable and sustainable energy by 2030. Thus, the study utilized the Complementary Percentage Method to track the energy poverty rate in electricity and clean fuel energy for rural and urban areas in NICs from (2000−2021). Subsequently, the study expanded to examine the impact of business cycles on energy poverty in NIC economies. Christiano-Fitzgerald filter and Hodrick-Prescott filter are used to measure the business cycle phases. The findings show that though most NICs have achieved full electricity access, significant disparities remain, particularly in rural areas where millions still lack access to both electricity and clean cooking fuels. Using System-GMM and IV-GMM, the study finds that business cycles, especially recessions, worsen energy poverty in NICs. Economic expansion cycles positively impact energy access and reduce energy poverty. Innovations and investments in the energy sector emerge as positive influencers in alleviating energy poverty. Also, the business cycle reduced renewable energy consumption. Findings indicate that countries with strong governance, effective regulation, rule of law, and control of corruption measures are more successful in reducing energy poverty. The additional transmission estimators reaffirmed findings; income inequality, energy intensity, unemployment and GDP per capita support the outcomes of business cycles' benchmark model. These findings highlight the need for investment in energy infrastructure and targeted policies to close the rural-urban energy gap, particularly for clean cooking fuels, to meet SDGs7.
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来源期刊
Applied Energy
Applied Energy 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
21.20
自引率
10.70%
发文量
1830
审稿时长
41 days
期刊介绍: Applied Energy serves as a platform for sharing innovations, research, development, and demonstrations in energy conversion, conservation, and sustainable energy systems. The journal covers topics such as optimal energy resource use, environmental pollutant mitigation, and energy process analysis. It welcomes original papers, review articles, technical notes, and letters to the editor. Authors are encouraged to submit manuscripts that bridge the gap between research, development, and implementation. The journal addresses a wide spectrum of topics, including fossil and renewable energy technologies, energy economics, and environmental impacts. Applied Energy also explores modeling and forecasting, conservation strategies, and the social and economic implications of energy policies, including climate change mitigation. It is complemented by the open-access journal Advances in Applied Energy.
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