"Thanks, but no thanks": Factors associated with patients who decline surgical intervention for thyroid cancer.

Background: Surgery is the mainstay of therapy for thyroid cancer. A rising number of patients decline recommended surgical intervention. This study aimed to identify factors associated with the decision to decline surgery for well-differentiated thyroid cancer.

Methods: Patients with papillary or follicular thyroid cancer diagnosed between 2004 and 2017 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Patients were grouped based on patient-documented refusal of recommended surgery and patients who successfully completed surgery. Baseline characteristic comparison, univariable and multivariable logistic regression, and survival analyses were performed.

Results: A total of 221,664 patients met inclusion criteria: 565 (0.3%) patients declined and 221,099 (99.7%) underwent recommended surgery. Patients who declined surgery were older, male, Black or Asian, and not privately insured. They more frequently had Charlson-Deyo scores ≥3, were diagnosed at academic centers, and presented with larger tumors and advanced clinical stage. Multivariable modeling demonstrated that older age, Black or Asian race, diagnosis at an academic center, no insurance or lack of private insurance, clinical N stage ≥1a, and clinical M stage >0 were associated with higher odds of declining surgery (P < .001). A mean survival of 10 years was found among patients who declined surgery versus 16 years among patients who underwent surgery (P < .0001).

Conclusion: Most patients diagnosed with well-differentiated thyroid cancer undergo physician-recommended surgical intervention. Declining surgery is associated with worse overall survival and is more likely in older, male, Black, or Asian patients with socioeconomic disadvantage. This study underscores the importance of understanding barriers to thyroid cancer surgery and opportunities to optimize outcomes and reduce disparities for these populations.