{"title":"确定和量化制裁的域外影响","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104888","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We identify the extraterritorial effects of trade sanctions and provide quantitative evidence that they are strong. Additionally, we show that the estimates of the primary effects may be significantly biased if the aforementioned extraterritorial effects are not taken into account. In the context of the U.S. embargo on Cuba, we confirm the presence of large and significant extraterritorial effects that vary across Cuba’s trade partners — most non-sanctioning states trade less with Cuba while its economic allies and states in close proximity to it trade more. Moreover, our complementary general-equilibrium analysis establishes that the U.S.’s sanctions have inflicted large welfare losses on Cuba but their effects on the rest of the world were small. As such, our analysis sheds new light on the significance (in terms of effectiveness) of extraterritorial sanctions and suggests that the motives for the opposition of third countries to such sanctions may be more political and legal than economic.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48389,"journal":{"name":"European Economic Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Identifying and quantifying the extraterritorial effects of sanctions\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104888\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We identify the extraterritorial effects of trade sanctions and provide quantitative evidence that they are strong. Additionally, we show that the estimates of the primary effects may be significantly biased if the aforementioned extraterritorial effects are not taken into account. In the context of the U.S. embargo on Cuba, we confirm the presence of large and significant extraterritorial effects that vary across Cuba’s trade partners — most non-sanctioning states trade less with Cuba while its economic allies and states in close proximity to it trade more. Moreover, our complementary general-equilibrium analysis establishes that the U.S.’s sanctions have inflicted large welfare losses on Cuba but their effects on the rest of the world were small. As such, our analysis sheds new light on the significance (in terms of effectiveness) of extraterritorial sanctions and suggests that the motives for the opposition of third countries to such sanctions may be more political and legal than economic.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48389,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"European Economic Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"European Economic Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014292124002174\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Economic Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0014292124002174","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Identifying and quantifying the extraterritorial effects of sanctions
We identify the extraterritorial effects of trade sanctions and provide quantitative evidence that they are strong. Additionally, we show that the estimates of the primary effects may be significantly biased if the aforementioned extraterritorial effects are not taken into account. In the context of the U.S. embargo on Cuba, we confirm the presence of large and significant extraterritorial effects that vary across Cuba’s trade partners — most non-sanctioning states trade less with Cuba while its economic allies and states in close proximity to it trade more. Moreover, our complementary general-equilibrium analysis establishes that the U.S.’s sanctions have inflicted large welfare losses on Cuba but their effects on the rest of the world were small. As such, our analysis sheds new light on the significance (in terms of effectiveness) of extraterritorial sanctions and suggests that the motives for the opposition of third countries to such sanctions may be more political and legal than economic.
期刊介绍:
The European Economic Review (EER) started publishing in 1969 as the first research journal specifically aiming to contribute to the development and application of economics as a science in Europe. As a broad-based professional and international journal, the EER welcomes submissions of applied and theoretical research papers in all fields of economics. The aim of the EER is to contribute to the development of the science of economics and its applications, as well as to improve communication between academic researchers, teachers and policy makers across the European continent and beyond.