确定和量化制裁的域外影响

IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Ohyun Kwon, Constantinos Syropoulos, Yoto V. Yotov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们确定了贸易制裁的域外效应,并提供了量化证据证明这些效应很强。此外,我们还表明,如果不考虑上述域外效应,对主要效应的估计可能会有很大偏差。在美国对古巴实施封锁的背景下,我们证实了巨大而显著的域外效应的存在,这些效应因古巴贸易伙伴的不同而不同--大多数非制裁国与古巴的贸易量减少,而古巴的经济盟友和与古巴关系密切的国家与古巴的贸易量增加。此外,我们的补充性一般均衡分析表明,美国的制裁给古巴造成了巨大的福利损失,但对世界其他国家的影响却很小。因此,我们的分析为域外制裁的重要性(就有效性而言)提供了新的启示,并表明第三国反对此类制裁的动机可能更多的是政治和法律方面的,而非经济方面的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identifying and quantifying the extraterritorial effects of sanctions
We identify the extraterritorial effects of trade sanctions and provide quantitative evidence that they are strong. Additionally, we show that the estimates of the primary effects may be significantly biased if the aforementioned extraterritorial effects are not taken into account. In the context of the U.S. embargo on Cuba, we confirm the presence of large and significant extraterritorial effects that vary across Cuba’s trade partners — most non-sanctioning states trade less with Cuba while its economic allies and states in close proximity to it trade more. Moreover, our complementary general-equilibrium analysis establishes that the U.S.’s sanctions have inflicted large welfare losses on Cuba but their effects on the rest of the world were small. As such, our analysis sheds new light on the significance (in terms of effectiveness) of extraterritorial sanctions and suggests that the motives for the opposition of third countries to such sanctions may be more political and legal than economic.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
3.60%
发文量
170
期刊介绍: The European Economic Review (EER) started publishing in 1969 as the first research journal specifically aiming to contribute to the development and application of economics as a science in Europe. As a broad-based professional and international journal, the EER welcomes submissions of applied and theoretical research papers in all fields of economics. The aim of the EER is to contribute to the development of the science of economics and its applications, as well as to improve communication between academic researchers, teachers and policy makers across the European continent and beyond.
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