非洲气候变化背景下的人类安全与流动性

Daniel Chigudu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于气候变化,非洲大陆丰富的生态生物多样性减少,粮食不安全、流动性、数百万人的生计、土地冲突以及可能导致更多流行病的人畜共患疾病传播等问题都有可能加剧。气候变化伴随着人类安全以及政治和经济问题。就目前情况而言,试图停止所有温室气体排放并不能减轻气候变化带来的痛苦。因此,有必要引导人们关注气候变化不可避免的后果。据估计,到 2050 年,全世界将有约 2 亿气候移民被迫流离失所,其中 8600 万将在非洲,这令人担忧。由于将安全与移民割裂开来,学术界以及和平与安全工作者必须重新理解移民对人类安全的威胁。本研究以系统的文献综述为基础,探讨了非洲气候变化背景下的人类安全与流动问题。研究认为,气候变化、人类活动和人口对土地的压力造成土地退化,这些挑战是增加非洲人口流动风险和人类安全的关键因素。这些风险需要采取预见性措施加以克服。因此,本研究通过强调一些指标和区分气候变化的递增影响,同时调查设计适应行动以维持安全和流动性的机会,为流动性和人类安全的风险评估做出了贡献。研究建议,应将人类安全方法纳入移民和气候移民政策框架,包括努力推广以人为本、更加全面的方法来解决人类安全问题。即使气候移民是一个安全问题,它也不一定只威胁国家安全,也会威胁人类安全。考虑到气候变化及其相关灾害对非洲各地人民福祉的挑战具有复杂性和多面性,探讨了各种备选方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Human security and mobility in the context of climate change in Africa
Due to climate change, the decline in the African continent’s rich ecological biodiversity threatens increased food insecurity, mobility, millions of livelihoods, land conflicts, and zoonotic disease transmission that could lead to more pandemics. This climate change comes with human security and political and economic concerns. As it stands, attempts to stop all greenhouse gas emissions cannot relieve the pain inflicted by climate change. Accordingly, there is a need to direct attention to the inescapable consequences of climate change. The estimate that by 2050, about 200 million climate migrants will have been forcibly displaced worldwide, of which 86 million will be in Africa, is a cause for concern. By disconnecting security and migration, academics and peace and security practitioners must reframe their understanding of migration as a human security threat. Based on a systematic literature review, this study explores human security and mobility in Africa’s climate change context. It is argued that challenges from climate change, human activities and population pressure on land impacting land degradation are critical factors in increasing the risk of mobility and human security in Africa. These risks require anticipatory steps to overcome them. Hence, this study contributes to the risk assessment of mobility and human security by highlighting some indicators and distinguishing the incremental impacts of climate change while investigating opportunities to design adaptation actions for sustaining security and mobility. The study suggests that the human security approach should be integrated into the migration and climate migration policy frameworks, including efforts to promote a people-centred and more holistic approach to address human security. Even if climate migration presents a security issue, it does not necessarily threaten national security alone but human security. Options considering the complex and multifaceted nature of challenges to peoples’ well-being because of climate change and its related disasters across Africa are explored.
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