Lúcia Rolim Santana de Freitas, Elisabeth Carmen Duarte
{"title":"2008-2022 年马托格罗索州各市麻风病监测指标的时间趋势和空间分析。","authors":"Lúcia Rolim Santana de Freitas, Elisabeth Carmen Duarte","doi":"10.1590/0037-8682-0145-2024","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In 2022, Mato Grosso (MT, Brazil) reported the highest detection rate of new leprosy cases (66.20 per 100,000 inhabitants) among all Brazilian states. Monitoring of leprosy indicators is an important control strategy in hyperendemic areas. We aimed to describe the temporal trends and identify clusters of municipalities according to leprosy surveillance indicators in MT between 2008 and 2022.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from the Notifiable Diseases Information System were used to analyze new case detection rate of leprosy (NCDR), new case detection rate of leprosy among children aged <15 years (NCD15), and rate of new cases with grade 2 physical disability (G2DR). Spatial scan statistics with pure spatial analysis and spatial autocorrelation maps were used to analyze the spatial patterns. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) in these indicators.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The NCDR decreased (APC: -20.2%, 95% confidence interval (CI): -38.7% to -7.4%) between 2019 and 2021. The NCD15 also decreased (APC: -19.2%, 95% CI: -36.4% to -10.3%) between 2018 and 2022. Conversely, the G2DR remained stable throughout the study (APC: 3.2%, 95% CI: -0.1% to 6.7%). Global Moran's index (Moran's I) confirmed the existence of spatial dependence among the municipalities for NCDR (Moran's I=0.348), NCD15 (Moran's I=0.269), and G2DR (Moran's I=0.275). Clusters with high NCDR levels included 13 municipalities in the northern and eastern macroregions, while clusters with high G2DR levels included 12 municipalities in the northwestern, northern, and eastern macroregions.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The NCDR and NCD15 decreased, but the G2DR remained stable between 2018 and 2022. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had a potential negative impact on leprosy case detection, highlighting the need to strengthen leprosy surveillance efforts. The identified clusters of MT municipalities can significantly assist in this task.</p>","PeriodicalId":21199,"journal":{"name":"Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11524593/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Temporal trends and spatial analysis of leprosy surveillance indicators in the municipalities of the state of Mato Grosso, 2008-2022.\",\"authors\":\"Lúcia Rolim Santana de Freitas, Elisabeth Carmen Duarte\",\"doi\":\"10.1590/0037-8682-0145-2024\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In 2022, Mato Grosso (MT, Brazil) reported the highest detection rate of new leprosy cases (66.20 per 100,000 inhabitants) among all Brazilian states. Monitoring of leprosy indicators is an important control strategy in hyperendemic areas. We aimed to describe the temporal trends and identify clusters of municipalities according to leprosy surveillance indicators in MT between 2008 and 2022.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from the Notifiable Diseases Information System were used to analyze new case detection rate of leprosy (NCDR), new case detection rate of leprosy among children aged <15 years (NCD15), and rate of new cases with grade 2 physical disability (G2DR). Spatial scan statistics with pure spatial analysis and spatial autocorrelation maps were used to analyze the spatial patterns. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) in these indicators.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The NCDR decreased (APC: -20.2%, 95% confidence interval (CI): -38.7% to -7.4%) between 2019 and 2021. The NCD15 also decreased (APC: -19.2%, 95% CI: -36.4% to -10.3%) between 2018 and 2022. Conversely, the G2DR remained stable throughout the study (APC: 3.2%, 95% CI: -0.1% to 6.7%). Global Moran's index (Moran's I) confirmed the existence of spatial dependence among the municipalities for NCDR (Moran's I=0.348), NCD15 (Moran's I=0.269), and G2DR (Moran's I=0.275). Clusters with high NCDR levels included 13 municipalities in the northern and eastern macroregions, while clusters with high G2DR levels included 12 municipalities in the northwestern, northern, and eastern macroregions.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The NCDR and NCD15 decreased, but the G2DR remained stable between 2018 and 2022. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had a potential negative impact on leprosy case detection, highlighting the need to strengthen leprosy surveillance efforts. The identified clusters of MT municipalities can significantly assist in this task.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":21199,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11524593/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0145-2024\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/1/1 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"eCollection\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"PARASITOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1590/0037-8682-0145-2024","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PARASITOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Temporal trends and spatial analysis of leprosy surveillance indicators in the municipalities of the state of Mato Grosso, 2008-2022.
Background: In 2022, Mato Grosso (MT, Brazil) reported the highest detection rate of new leprosy cases (66.20 per 100,000 inhabitants) among all Brazilian states. Monitoring of leprosy indicators is an important control strategy in hyperendemic areas. We aimed to describe the temporal trends and identify clusters of municipalities according to leprosy surveillance indicators in MT between 2008 and 2022.
Methods: Data from the Notifiable Diseases Information System were used to analyze new case detection rate of leprosy (NCDR), new case detection rate of leprosy among children aged <15 years (NCD15), and rate of new cases with grade 2 physical disability (G2DR). Spatial scan statistics with pure spatial analysis and spatial autocorrelation maps were used to analyze the spatial patterns. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) in these indicators.
Results: The NCDR decreased (APC: -20.2%, 95% confidence interval (CI): -38.7% to -7.4%) between 2019 and 2021. The NCD15 also decreased (APC: -19.2%, 95% CI: -36.4% to -10.3%) between 2018 and 2022. Conversely, the G2DR remained stable throughout the study (APC: 3.2%, 95% CI: -0.1% to 6.7%). Global Moran's index (Moran's I) confirmed the existence of spatial dependence among the municipalities for NCDR (Moran's I=0.348), NCD15 (Moran's I=0.269), and G2DR (Moran's I=0.275). Clusters with high NCDR levels included 13 municipalities in the northern and eastern macroregions, while clusters with high G2DR levels included 12 municipalities in the northwestern, northern, and eastern macroregions.
Conclusions: The NCDR and NCD15 decreased, but the G2DR remained stable between 2018 and 2022. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic had a potential negative impact on leprosy case detection, highlighting the need to strengthen leprosy surveillance efforts. The identified clusters of MT municipalities can significantly assist in this task.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of the Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine (JBSTM) isan official journal of the Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine) with open access. It is amultidisciplinary journal that publishes original researches related totropical diseases, preventive medicine, public health, infectious diseasesand related matters. Preference for publication will be given to articlesreporting original observations or researches. The journal has a peer-reviewsystem for articles acceptance and its periodicity is bimonthly. The Journalof the Brazilian Society of Tropical Medicine is published in English.The journal invites to publication Major Articles, Editorials, Reviewand Mini-Review Articles, Short Communications, Case Reports, TechnicalReports, Images in Infectious Diseases, Letters, Supplements and Obituaries.
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号
