总量型和结构型货币政策工具组合的调控效果:新凯恩斯主义 DSGE 模型在中国的应用

IF 7.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Li-Hui Wang , Fu-An Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文选取 2009 年第一季度至 2020 年第一季度的中国宏观经济数据,采用新凯恩斯主义动态随机一般均衡模型,将金融加速器机制、价格粘性和政府隐形担保纳入模型。从货币政策的冲击效应、非货币政策冲击的经济波动幅度、中央银行损失函数、家庭收入分配差距和异质性企业外部融资溢价五个方面比较了不同货币政策工具组合的调控效果。我们的研究结果表明,以价格为基础的总量型货币政策工具和以结构数量为基础的结构型货币政策工具组合的调控效果是最佳的,稳健性检验进一步支持了这一结论。因此,建议中央银行考虑总量型和结构型货币政策工具组合方法的潜在益处,以提高实体经济的信贷供应量。本文是对这一领域的重大贡献,因为它首次明确提出了四种不同的货币政策工具组合,从而克服了以往研究只关注单一工具或范围较窄的工具的局限性。本文还有助于从理论上理解货币政策工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regulatory Effects of the Combinations of Aggregate and Structural Monetary Policy Instruments: an application of New Keynesian DSGE model to China
This paper selects Chinese macroeconomic data from the first quarter of 2009 to the first quarter of 2020 and employs a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that incorporates the financial accelerator mechanism, price stickiness, and invisible government guarantees. The regulatory effects of different combinations of monetary policy instruments are compared from five perspectives: the shock effect of monetary policy, the magnitude of economic volatility of non-monetary policy shocks, the Central Bank loss function, the gap in the distribution of household income, and the heterogeneous firm external financing premium. Our findings indicate that the regulatory effects of the aggregate price-based and structural quantity-based monetary policy instrument combination are optimal, a conclusion that is further supported by the robustness test. It is therefore recommended that the Central Bank consider the potential benefits of a combined approach to aggregate and structural monetary policy instruments, with a view to enhancing credit availability for the real economy. This paper represents a significant contribution to the field, as it is the first to explicitly propose four distinct monetary policy instrument combinations, thereby overcoming the limitations of previous studies that have focused on a single instrument or a narrow range of instruments. The paper also contributes to the theoretical understanding of monetary policy instruments.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
9.20%
发文量
231
审稿时长
93 days
期刊介绍: Economic Analysis and Policy (established 1970) publishes articles from all branches of economics with a particular focus on research, theoretical and applied, which has strong policy relevance. The journal also publishes survey articles and empirical replications on key policy issues. Authors are expected to highlight the main insights in a non-technical introduction and in the conclusion.
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