非高斯问题的二元三次正态分布

IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL
Xiang-Wei Li, Xuan-Yi Zhang, Yan-Gang Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

概率模型在各个工程领域发挥着至关重要的作用。概率建模中存在许多关键问题,尤其是非高斯相关随机变量。传统的基于参数的双变量分布模型通常是针对特定类型的随机变量开发的,这限制了其灵活性和适用性。本研究提出了一种灵活的双变量分布模型,其中联合累积分布函数(JCDF)是通过将概率表示为对应于简单函数的三个基本概率的求和而得出的。这些概率使用单变量立方正态分布计算,因此所提出的模型被命名为双变量立方正态分布(BCN)。所提出的 BCN 分布已被应用于几种常见的二元分布和实际工程数据集的建模。结果表明,BCN 分布能准确拟合理论分布和实际数据集的 JCDF,与现有模型相比有显著改进。此外,所提出的 BCN 分布还被用于地震可靠性评估,以及飓风风速和风暴规模的平均重现间隔和危害曲线的计算。结果表明,BCN 分布在建模和匹配能力方面表现出色,证明了其在土木工程应用中的准确性和有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bivariate cubic normal distribution for non-Gaussian problems
Probabilistic models play critical role in various engineering fields. Numerous critical issues exist in probabilistic modeling, especially for non-Gaussian correlated random variables. Traditional parameter-based bivariate distribution models are typically developed for specific types of random variables, which limits their flexibility and applicability. In this study, a flexible bivariate distribution model is proposed, in which the joint cumulative distribution function (JCDF) is derived by expressing the probability as the summation of three basic probabilities corresponding to simple functions. These probabilities are computed using a univariate cubic normal distribution, and thus the proposed model is named as bivariate cubic normal (BCN) distribution. The proposed BCN distribution has been applied in modeling several common bivariate distributions and actual engineering datasets. Results show that the BCN distribution accurately fits the JCDFs of both theoretical distributions and practical datasets, offering significant improvement over existing models. Furthermore, the proposed BCN distribution is utilized in seismic reliability assessment and the calculation of the mean recurrence interval and hazard curve of hurricane wind speed and storm size. Results demonstrate that the BCN distribution excels in modeling and matching capabilities, proving its accuracy and effectiveness in civil engineering applications.
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来源期刊
Structural Safety
Structural Safety 工程技术-工程:土木
CiteScore
11.30
自引率
8.60%
发文量
67
审稿时长
53 days
期刊介绍: Structural Safety is an international journal devoted to integrated risk assessment for a wide range of constructed facilities such as buildings, bridges, earth structures, offshore facilities, dams, lifelines and nuclear structural systems. Its purpose is to foster communication about risk and reliability among technical disciplines involved in design and construction, and to enhance the use of risk management in the constructed environment
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