{"title":"货币政策中的性别因素:事件研究设计","authors":"Donata Favaro , Anna Giraldo , Adriano Paggiaro","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106910","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article assesses whether central bankers’ monetary policy preferences differ by gender. Based on a monetary policy rule in which the inflation rate is a function of the output gap, we estimated differences in this rule between central banks with female presidents and those with male presidents. Using an original database of 159 countries observed from 1980 to 2018, we adopted an event-study design, which, compared with the related literature, offers a novel approach to evaluate gender differences in inflation changes in the years following a new presidential appointment. A difference-in-differences strategy with propensity score matching showed that men central bank presidents are strongly conservative (hawks) in their monetary policy, at least in the first years after taking office. On the contrary, women central bank presidents are progressive (doves). This implies that women let the inflation rate fluctuate more—in relation to the output gap—than do men.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 106910"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The gender factor in monetary policy: An event-study design\",\"authors\":\"Donata Favaro , Anna Giraldo , Adriano Paggiaro\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106910\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This article assesses whether central bankers’ monetary policy preferences differ by gender. Based on a monetary policy rule in which the inflation rate is a function of the output gap, we estimated differences in this rule between central banks with female presidents and those with male presidents. Using an original database of 159 countries observed from 1980 to 2018, we adopted an event-study design, which, compared with the related literature, offers a novel approach to evaluate gender differences in inflation changes in the years following a new presidential appointment. A difference-in-differences strategy with propensity score matching showed that men central bank presidents are strongly conservative (hawks) in their monetary policy, at least in the first years after taking office. On the contrary, women central bank presidents are progressive (doves). This implies that women let the inflation rate fluctuate more—in relation to the output gap—than do men.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48419,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"volume\":\"141 \",\"pages\":\"Article 106910\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999324002670\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999324002670","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
The gender factor in monetary policy: An event-study design
This article assesses whether central bankers’ monetary policy preferences differ by gender. Based on a monetary policy rule in which the inflation rate is a function of the output gap, we estimated differences in this rule between central banks with female presidents and those with male presidents. Using an original database of 159 countries observed from 1980 to 2018, we adopted an event-study design, which, compared with the related literature, offers a novel approach to evaluate gender differences in inflation changes in the years following a new presidential appointment. A difference-in-differences strategy with propensity score matching showed that men central bank presidents are strongly conservative (hawks) in their monetary policy, at least in the first years after taking office. On the contrary, women central bank presidents are progressive (doves). This implies that women let the inflation rate fluctuate more—in relation to the output gap—than do men.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.