{"title":"2020 年热带气旋哈罗德在南太平洋掀起巨浪的案例研究","authors":"Amit Singh , Nadao Kohno , Hironori Fudeyasu","doi":"10.1016/j.tcrr.2024.08.003","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study highlighted a high wave case by severe tropical cyclone Harold and conducted a simulation with a newly developed wave forecasting system for the South Pacific based on the Japan Meteorological Agency third generation wave model (JMA MRI-III) using the National Center for Environment Prediction Global Forecast System (GFS) winds. Harold was a very intense tropical cyclone (TC) and very high waves up to 10 m affected parts of Vanuatu and Fiji. The model results were reasonable and verified against observations of orbital satellites and a wave buoy at Komave in Fiji. The statistical verifications were carefully analysed. The Root Mean Squared Error (RSME), Scatter Index (SI), Bias and R<sup>2</sup> are all showing very impressive results. The new wave forecasting system is the first high resolution operational model at Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), which covers the whole Fiji area. The system will provide guidance to FMS in preparing marine alerts and warning better and more confidence in providing the marine forecast accurately.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":44442,"journal":{"name":"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review","volume":"13 3","pages":"Pages 147-160"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Case study of high waves in the South Pacific generated by Tropical Cyclone Harold in 2020\",\"authors\":\"Amit Singh , Nadao Kohno , Hironori Fudeyasu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tcrr.2024.08.003\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This study highlighted a high wave case by severe tropical cyclone Harold and conducted a simulation with a newly developed wave forecasting system for the South Pacific based on the Japan Meteorological Agency third generation wave model (JMA MRI-III) using the National Center for Environment Prediction Global Forecast System (GFS) winds. Harold was a very intense tropical cyclone (TC) and very high waves up to 10 m affected parts of Vanuatu and Fiji. The model results were reasonable and verified against observations of orbital satellites and a wave buoy at Komave in Fiji. The statistical verifications were carefully analysed. The Root Mean Squared Error (RSME), Scatter Index (SI), Bias and R<sup>2</sup> are all showing very impressive results. The new wave forecasting system is the first high resolution operational model at Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), which covers the whole Fiji area. The system will provide guidance to FMS in preparing marine alerts and warning better and more confidence in providing the marine forecast accurately.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":44442,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review\",\"volume\":\"13 3\",\"pages\":\"Pages 147-160\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603224000419\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603224000419","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Case study of high waves in the South Pacific generated by Tropical Cyclone Harold in 2020
This study highlighted a high wave case by severe tropical cyclone Harold and conducted a simulation with a newly developed wave forecasting system for the South Pacific based on the Japan Meteorological Agency third generation wave model (JMA MRI-III) using the National Center for Environment Prediction Global Forecast System (GFS) winds. Harold was a very intense tropical cyclone (TC) and very high waves up to 10 m affected parts of Vanuatu and Fiji. The model results were reasonable and verified against observations of orbital satellites and a wave buoy at Komave in Fiji. The statistical verifications were carefully analysed. The Root Mean Squared Error (RSME), Scatter Index (SI), Bias and R2 are all showing very impressive results. The new wave forecasting system is the first high resolution operational model at Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), which covers the whole Fiji area. The system will provide guidance to FMS in preparing marine alerts and warning better and more confidence in providing the marine forecast accurately.
期刊介绍:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome.
Scope of the journal includes:
• Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies
• Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings
• Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones
• Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones
• Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones