Invasive annual grasses destabilize plant communities in a northern mixed-grass prairie

Temporal community stability, here defined as temporal mean divided by temporal SD, plays an important role in predicting certain ecosystem services. However, temporal stability can change with invasion, with greater abundances of invasive species potentially having greater impacts on native community stability. The exact consequences of invasion for temporal stability are unclear and, in part, depend on the particular metric of stability measured. In rangeland ecosystems, predicable forage is important for livestock production but can be threatened by invasion. Therefore, using an observational field study conducted over three years in Wyoming, we assessed which metrics of plant community stability were altered by invasion and whether those effects were mediated by two environmental variables (light and soil moisture). Bromus arvensis and Bromus tectorum are two invasive annual weeds found across US rangelands, including the northern mixed-grass prairies of Wyoming. We established plots along natural invasion blocks of B. arvensis and B. tectorum abundance and collected plant species composition data over three growing seasons. We tested associations between seven different metrics of plant community stability and invasion by B. arvensis and B. tectorum. We found that species turnover increases with invasion by both species, while stability of forb (both brome species), C₄ grass (B. arvensis only), and C₃ grass (B. tectorum only) cover decreases with invasion. All metrics of stability associated with invasion supported the hypothesis of a destabilizing effect of invasion on the native plant community. Further, we found that light and soil moisture did mediate some associations between stability and invasion. Overall, our results align with previous work suggesting that invasive annual bromes can lead to decreased native plant stability, which has important implications for forage production and, thus, food security.