山区河流极端水温的趋势和驱动因素

IF 4.6 1区 地球科学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
A. van Hamel, M. I. Brunner
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Our results show that mean water temperature has increased by <span data-altimg=\"/cms/asset/a76f04a9-fce2-4883-8d7d-678591ad407b/wrcr27521-math-0001.png\"></span><mjx-container ctxtmenu_counter=\"27\" ctxtmenu_oldtabindex=\"1\" jax=\"CHTML\" role=\"application\" sre-explorer- style=\"font-size: 103%; position: relative;\" tabindex=\"0\"><mjx-math aria-hidden=\"true\" location=\"graphic/wrcr27521-math-0001.png\"><mjx-semantics><mjx-mrow data-semantic-children=\"4,3\" data-semantic-content=\"2\" data-semantic- data-semantic-role=\"addition\" data-semantic-speech=\"plus 0.38 plus or minus 0.14\" data-semantic-type=\"infixop\"><mjx-mrow data-semantic-children=\"1\" data-semantic-content=\"0\" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent=\"5\" data-semantic-role=\"positive\" data-semantic-type=\"prefixop\"><mjx-mo data-semantic- data-semantic-operator=\"prefixop,+\" data-semantic-parent=\"4\" data-semantic-role=\"addition\" data-semantic-type=\"operator\" rspace=\"1\" style=\"margin-left: 0.056em;\"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mo><mjx-mn data-semantic-annotation=\"clearspeak:simple\" data-semantic-font=\"normal\" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent=\"4\" data-semantic-role=\"float\" data-semantic-type=\"number\"><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mn></mjx-mrow><mjx-mo data-semantic- data-semantic-operator=\"infixop,±\" data-semantic-parent=\"5\" data-semantic-role=\"addition\" data-semantic-type=\"operator\" rspace=\"4\" space=\"4\"><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mo><mjx-mn data-semantic-annotation=\"clearspeak:simple\" data-semantic-font=\"normal\" data-semantic- data-semantic-parent=\"5\" data-semantic-role=\"float\" data-semantic-type=\"number\"><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c><mjx-c></mjx-c></mjx-mn></mjx-mrow></mjx-semantics></mjx-math><mjx-assistive-mml display=\"inline\" unselectable=\"on\"><math altimg=\"urn:x-wiley:00431397:media:wrcr27521:wrcr27521-math-0001\" display=\"inline\" location=\"graphic/wrcr27521-math-0001.png\" xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"><semantics><mrow data-semantic-=\"\" data-semantic-children=\"4,3\" data-semantic-content=\"2\" data-semantic-role=\"addition\" data-semantic-speech=\"plus 0.38 plus or minus 0.14\" data-semantic-type=\"infixop\"><mrow data-semantic-=\"\" data-semantic-children=\"1\" data-semantic-content=\"0\" data-semantic-parent=\"5\" data-semantic-role=\"positive\" data-semantic-type=\"prefixop\"><mo data-semantic-=\"\" data-semantic-operator=\"prefixop,+\" data-semantic-parent=\"4\" data-semantic-role=\"addition\" data-semantic-type=\"operator\">+</mo><mn data-semantic-=\"\" data-semantic-annotation=\"clearspeak:simple\" data-semantic-font=\"normal\" data-semantic-parent=\"4\" data-semantic-role=\"float\" data-semantic-type=\"number\">0.38</mn></mrow><mo data-semantic-=\"\" data-semantic-operator=\"infixop,±\" data-semantic-parent=\"5\" data-semantic-role=\"addition\" data-semantic-type=\"operator\">±</mo><mn data-semantic-=\"\" data-semantic-annotation=\"clearspeak:simple\" data-semantic-font=\"normal\" data-semantic-parent=\"5\" data-semantic-role=\"float\" data-semantic-type=\"number\">0.14</mn></mrow>${+}0.38\\pm 0.14$</annotation></semantics></math></mjx-assistive-mml></mjx-container>°C per decade, leading to more extreme events at high elevations in spring and summer. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

极端水温会对山区河流的水生生态系统造成严重威胁。这些河流受积雪和冰川融水的影响,而积雪和冰川融水会随着气候的变化而变化。因此,极端水温出现的频率和严重程度可能会发生变化。虽然之前的研究记录了非极端水温的变化,但目前还不清楚极端水温在气候变暖的情况下是如何变化的,其水文气象驱动因素与非极端水温的驱动因素有何不同。本研究旨在评估极端水温的时间变化和空间变异性,加深我们对当前气候下欧洲山区河流的区域和大陆尺度驱动过程的理解。首先,我们描述了极端事件的特征,并探讨了它们与流域特征之间的关系。其次,我们评估了极端水温的变化趋势,并将其与平均水温的变化趋势进行了比较。第三,我们使用随机森林模型来确定极端水温的主要驱动过程。最后,我们进行了共现分析,以研究极端水温与极端水文气候之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,平均水温每十年上升+0.38±0.14${+}0.38/pm 0.14$℃,导致春夏季高海拔地区极端事件增多。虽然非极端水温主要由气温驱动,但极端水温也受到土壤湿度、基流和融水的重要影响。我们的研究凸显了山区河流在区域和大陆尺度上水温动态的复杂性,尤其是在极端水温期间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trends and Drivers of Water Temperature Extremes in Mountain Rivers
Water temperature extremes can pose serious threats to the aquatic ecosystems of mountain rivers. These rivers are influenced by snow and glaciermelt, which change with climate. As a result, the frequency and severity of water temperature extremes may change. While previous studies have documented changes in non-extreme water temperature, it is yet unclear how extreme water temperatures change in a warming climate and how their hydro-meteorological drivers differ from those of non-extremes. This study aims to assess temporal changes and spatial variability in water temperature extremes and enhance our understanding of the driving processes across European mountain rivers in the current climate, at both a regional and continental scale. First, we describe the characteristics of extreme events and explore their relationships with catchment characteristics. Second, we assess trends in water temperature extremes and compare them with trends in mean water temperature. Third, we use random forest models to identify the main driving processes of water temperature extremes. Last, we conduct a co-occurrence analysis to examine the relationship between water temperature extremes and hydro-climatic extremes. Our results show that mean water temperature has increased by +0.38±0.14${+}0.38\pm 0.14$°C per decade, leading to more extreme events at high elevations in spring and summer. While non-extreme water temperatures are mainly driven by air temperature, water temperature extremes are also importantly influenced by soil moisture, baseflow, and meltwater. Our study highlights the complexity of water temperature dynamics in mountain rivers at the regional and continental scale, especially during water temperature extremes.
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来源期刊
Water Resources Research
Water Resources Research 环境科学-湖沼学
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
13.00%
发文量
599
审稿时长
3.5 months
期刊介绍: Water Resources Research (WRR) is an interdisciplinary journal that focuses on hydrology and water resources. It publishes original research in the natural and social sciences of water. It emphasizes the role of water in the Earth system, including physical, chemical, biological, and ecological processes in water resources research and management, including social, policy, and public health implications. It encompasses observational, experimental, theoretical, analytical, numerical, and data-driven approaches that advance the science of water and its management. Submissions are evaluated for their novelty, accuracy, significance, and broader implications of the findings.
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