Evolving epidemiology of NAFLD in South Korea: incidence, prevalence, progression, and healthcare implications from 2010 to 2022.

Background/aims: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), now the most common chronic liver worldwide, has become a significant public health concern. This study aims to analyze the evolving epidemiology of NAFLD in South Korea.

Methods: We utilized claim data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service from 2010 to 2022 to analyze NAFLD's incidence, prevalence, and progression.

Results: From 2010 to 2022, the incidence and prevalence rates of NAFLD each increased from 1.87% to 4.47% and from 10.49% to 17.13%, respectively. The differences in prevalence rates between urban and rural areas were minimal in 2012 and 2022, yet both areas showed significant increases in the prevalence of NAFLD over the decade. The NAFLD group had a higher prevalence of comorbidities compared to the control group, and the most common comorbid condition was hypertension. Moreover, the ten-year incidence rates of malignancy, heart disease, and stroke in the NAFLD group were 13.42%, 15.72%, and 8.36%, respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the control group. The incidence rates of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD over 10 years were 2.22% and 0.77%, respectively. The total medical costs of NAFLD patients more than doubled over ten years and were all significantly higher than those of the control group.

Conclusions: A significant increase in NAFLD prevalence and its impact on healthcare utilization was observed in South Korea. With NAFLD leading to serious liver diseases and increased healthcare costs, integrated care strategies that include both medical treatment and lifestyle modifications are essential.