Yirui Qian, Stephen J Walters, Richard M Jacques, Laura Flight
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This study aims to use simulation methods to compare the performance (in terms of bias, empirical standard error, coverage of the confidence interval, Type I error, and power) of three different statistical methods, multiple linear regression (MLR), Tobit regression (Tobit), and median regression (Median), to estimate a range of predefined treatment effects for a PRO in a two-arm balanced RCT. We assumed there was an underlying latent continuous outcome that the PRO was measuring, but the actual scores observed were equally spaced and discrete. This study found that MLR was associated with little bias of the estimated treatment effect, small standard errors, and appropriate coverage of the confidence interval under most scenarios. Tobit performed worse than MLR for analysing PROs with a small number of levels, but it had better performance when analysing PROs with more discrete values. Median showed extremely large bias and errors, associated with low power and coverage for most scenarios especially when the number of possible discrete values was small. 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Tobit performed worse than MLR for analysing PROs with a small number of levels, but it had better performance when analysing PROs with more discrete values. Median showed extremely large bias and errors, associated with low power and coverage for most scenarios especially when the number of possible discrete values was small. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
患者报告结果(PROs)旨在衡量患者对其健康或各领域健康相关状况的主观态度,越来越多地被用于随机对照试验(RCTs)中。PRO数据可能是有边界的、离散的和倾斜的。虽然有各种统计方法可用于分析 RCT 环境中的 PROs,但对于什么统计方法最适合使用,目前还没有达成共识。本研究旨在使用模拟方法比较三种不同统计方法(多元线性回归 (MLR)、托比特回归 (Tobit) 和中位回归 (Median))的性能(偏差、经验标准误差、置信区间覆盖率、I 类误差和功率),以估计双臂平衡 RCT 中 PRO 的预定义治疗效果范围。我们假定PRO测量的是潜在的连续结果,但观察到的实际分数是等距和离散的。这项研究发现,在大多数情况下,MLR 与估计治疗效果的偏差小、标准误差小以及置信区间的适当覆盖率有关。在分析具有少量水平的 PRO 时,Tobit 的表现不如 MLR,但在分析具有更多离散值的 PRO 时,Tobit 的表现更好。中位数显示出极大的偏差和误差,在大多数情况下与低功率和低覆盖率有关,尤其是当可能的离散值较少时。我们建议将 MLR 作为一种简单、通用的统计方法,用于 RCT 环境中的 PROs 分析。
Comparison of statistical methods for the analysis of patient-reported outcomes in randomised controlled trials: A simulation study.
Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) that aim to measure patients' subjective attitudes towards their health or health-related conditions in various fields have been increasingly used in randomised controlled trials (RCTs). PRO data is likely to be bounded, discrete, and skewed. Although various statistical methods are available for the analysis of PROs in RCT settings, there is no consensus on what statistical methods are the most appropriate for use. This study aims to use simulation methods to compare the performance (in terms of bias, empirical standard error, coverage of the confidence interval, Type I error, and power) of three different statistical methods, multiple linear regression (MLR), Tobit regression (Tobit), and median regression (Median), to estimate a range of predefined treatment effects for a PRO in a two-arm balanced RCT. We assumed there was an underlying latent continuous outcome that the PRO was measuring, but the actual scores observed were equally spaced and discrete. This study found that MLR was associated with little bias of the estimated treatment effect, small standard errors, and appropriate coverage of the confidence interval under most scenarios. Tobit performed worse than MLR for analysing PROs with a small number of levels, but it had better performance when analysing PROs with more discrete values. Median showed extremely large bias and errors, associated with low power and coverage for most scenarios especially when the number of possible discrete values was small. We recommend MLR as a simple and universal statistical method for the analysis of PROs in RCT settings.
期刊介绍:
Statistical Methods in Medical Research is a peer reviewed scholarly journal and is the leading vehicle for articles in all the main areas of medical statistics and an essential reference for all medical statisticians. This unique journal is devoted solely to statistics and medicine and aims to keep professionals abreast of the many powerful statistical techniques now available to the medical profession. This journal is a member of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE)