减少风险行为的预测因素:最后一英里社区的证据

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管利用保护动机理论(PMT)对灾害期间影响保护行为的因素进行了广泛研究,但人们对脆弱环境中最后一英里社区(尤其是菲律宾)如何响应预警信息的了解仍然有限。这种了解至关重要,因为这些社区往往在极端天气事件中首当其冲。本研究通过调查和半结构式访谈获取数据,研究了菲律宾北部两个 "最后一英里 "社区--卡巴利蒂安和马皮塔--在超强台风 "山竹 "前后降低风险行为的预测因素。回归分析表明,所有威胁评估变量--感知脆弱性、感知严重性和恐惧--都是 "曼克胡特 "台风来临前降低风险行为的预测因素。应对评估变量,特别是反应效能和自我效能,也对 "曼格侯 "飓风来临前的降低风险行为有积极影响。在社会人口变量中,只有性别和年龄是预测降低风险行为的因素,这两个变量对两个社区的影响各不相同。扩大 PMT 的应用范围,先前的台风经验、信任和社会网络强度也对 "桑吉 "前后的风险降低行为产生了显著的积极影响。该研究确定了关键的基础设施、制度和操作干预措施,以提高这些社区的应对能力并降低其脆弱性,同时还确定了政策影响,以便为减少灾害风险战略提供信息并增强地方备灾工作的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predictors of risk reduction behavior: Evidence in last-mile communities
Despite extensive research using Protection Motivation Theory (PMT) to analyze factors influencing protective behaviors during disasters, understanding how last-mile communities in vulnerable contexts—particularly in the Philippines—respond to early warning messages remains limited. This understanding is crucial, as these communities often bear the brunt of extreme weather events. Drawing data from surveys and semi-structured interviews, this study examined the predictors of risk reduction behaviors before and after Super Typhoon Mangkhut in two last-mile communities in Northern Philippines — Cabalitian and Mapita. Regression analysis demonstrated that all threat appraisal variables—perceived vulnerability, perceived severity, and fear—are predictors of risk reduction behaviors before Mangkhut. Coping appraisal variables, specifically response efficacy and self-efficacy, also positively influenced risk reduction action before Mangkhut. Among socio-demographic variables, only gender and age are predictors of risk reduction behaviors, with their influence varying between the two communities. Expanding the application of PMT, prior typhoon experience, trust, and social network strength also positively and significantly influenced risk reduction behaviors before and after Mangkhut. The study identified key infrastructural, institutional, and operational interventions to enhance coping capacity and reduce vulnerability in these communities, alongside policy implications to inform disaster risk reduction strategies and empower local preparedness efforts.
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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