通过可解释机器学习分析北京通勤距离的年龄差异和社会经济因素

IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES
Liangkan Chen , Mingxing Chen , Chao Fan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国特大城市居民所面临的通勤问题日益突出,由此引发了越来越多关于通勤平等的文献。然而,关于不同年龄组的社会经济与通勤距离之间的异质性和非线性关联的纵向证据仍不为人知。本研究利用基于移动设备位置数据的大规模数据集来识别通勤模式、家庭工作平衡和通勤距离方面的年龄差异。我们以北京的通勤模式为例进行研究。我们采用极梯度提升(XGBoost)机器学习模型和夏普利加法规划(SHAP)方法,研究并解释了个人特征和社会经济特征对通勤距离的非线性交互影响。研究结果表明,在北京,不同年龄段在工作与家庭平衡方面存在明显差异,年轻人的市内通勤距离往往长于老年人。这项研究强调了个人和社会经济特征对不同年龄组通勤距离差异的影响。房价是解释通勤距离的最重要因素,其次是实现适当的家庭与工作平衡对年轻人的重要性。住房与就业机会之间的空间矛盾在通勤模式的形成中起到了至关重要的作用。这些见解有助于旨在实现通勤社会公平和提高城市整体生活质量的城市规划工作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Age disparities and socioeconomic factors for commuting distance in Beijing by explainable machine learning
The increasing commuting issues faced by residents in China's megacities have led to a growing body of literature on commuting equality. However, longitudinal evidence on the heterogeneous and nonlinear associations between socioeconomics and commuting distances across different age groups remains unknown. This study employs a large-scale dataset of location-based data from mobile devices to identify age disparities in commuting patterns, home-work balance, and commuting distance. We take the commuting patterns in Beijing as a case study. Employing the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) machine learning model and the Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method, we examined and explained the nonlinear interactive effects of individual and socioeconomic characteristics on commuting distance. The results revealed significant age disparities in the work-home balance within Beijing, with young individuals tending to have longer intra-city commuting distances than the old. This study highlights the impacts of individual and socioeconomic attributes on commuting disparities across age groups. Housing prices emerged as the most significant factor explaining commuting distance, followed by the importance of achieving a suitable home-work balance for young people. The spatial contradiction between housing and employment opportunities has played a crucial role in shaping commuting patterns. These insights contribute to urban planning efforts aimed at achieving social equity in commuting and enhancing the overall quality of life in cities.
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来源期刊
Cities
Cities URBAN STUDIES-
CiteScore
11.20
自引率
9.00%
发文量
517
期刊介绍: Cities offers a comprehensive range of articles on all aspects of urban policy. It provides an international and interdisciplinary platform for the exchange of ideas and information between urban planners and policy makers from national and local government, non-government organizations, academia and consultancy. The primary aims of the journal are to analyse and assess past and present urban development and management as a reflection of effective, ineffective and non-existent planning policies; and the promotion of the implementation of appropriate urban policies in both the developed and the developing world.
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